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Will it freeze in Fayetteville in the next 7 nights?
No overnight lows at or below 32°F are forecast in Fayetteville during the next 7 nights in the available NWS frost forecast.
Tonight: forecast low 67°F. Above 36°F.
NWS forecast period: Thu, Nov 5, 6:00 PM EST to Fri, Nov 6, 6:00 AM EST.
No nights at or below 36°F in the National Weather Service forecast for the next 7 nights.
- Tonight 67°F Above 36°F · Mostly Cloudy then Patchy Fog
- Fri, Nov 6 53°F Above 36°F · Mostly Clear
- Sat, Nov 7 44°F Above 36°F · Mostly Clear
- Sun, Nov 8 44°F Above 36°F · Mostly Clear
- Mon, Nov 9 43°F Above 36°F · Mostly Clear
- Tue, Nov 10 46°F Above 36°F · Partly Cloudy
- Wed, Nov 11 46°F Above 36°F · Mostly Clear
Overnight lows from the National Weather Service forecast for this location. This covers the available forecast window, not the first freeze of the whole season. Frost can form above 32°F on clear, calm nights.
Frost and freeze probabilities
Freeze dates shift from year to year. Spring percentages describe the chance of a freeze after the stated date; fall percentages describe the chance of a freeze by that date. The 10% spring date is the cautious one: a later freeze happens about 1 year in 10.
These dates describe historical probabilities, not this year’s forecast or the earliest and latest possible freezes. Different weather stations or probability thresholds can produce different published dates for the same city.
Average first hard freeze in Fayetteville
The median first fall hard-freeze date (28°F) is November 23, from NOAA’s 1991–2020 Climate Normals at Fayetteville (pwc). This is the 50% probability date, not a forecast for this year.
| Temperature | Last spring date 90% · 50% · 10% chance of a later freeze | First fall date 10% · 50% · 90% chance of an earlier freeze | Season |
|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F frost possible | Mar 23 · Apr 9 · Apr 27 | Oct 20 · Nov 1 · Nov 15 | 206 days |
| 32°F freeze | Mar 9 · Mar 30 · Apr 16 | Oct 28 · Nov 10 · Nov 29 | 227 days |
| 28°F hard freeze | Feb 21 · Mar 16 · Apr 6 | Nov 4 · Nov 23 · Dec 17 | 251 days |
Average high temperature by month
1991–2020 normals at Fayetteville (pwc)
Average low temperature by month
Months with lows near or below freezing carry frost risk
Where these frost dates come from
The frost dates for Fayetteville, NC come from the nearest weather station with freeze statistics in NOAA’s 1991–2020 Climate Normals: Fayetteville (pwc) (station USC00313017, elevation 96 ft), 6.7 mi from Fayetteville. Local conditions (valleys, hilltops, distance to water, city heat) can shift frost dates by days or weeks. The hardiness zone is from the 2023 USDA Plant Hardiness Zone Map (USDA ARS and Oregon State University PRISM). See our methodology.
Frost dates near Fayetteville
| City | Distance | Last spring frost | First fall frost |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spring Lake, NC | 6.8 mi | Mar 30 | Nov 10 |
| Hope Mills, NC | 8.1 mi | Mar 22 | Nov 13 |
| Lillington, NC | 25 mi | Mar 30 | Nov 6 |
| Whispering Pines, NC | 25 mi | Apr 1 | Nov 5 |
| Southern Pines, NC | 25 mi | Apr 1 | Nov 5 |
| Dunn, NC | 25 mi | Mar 28 | Nov 7 |
| Aberdeen, NC | 26 mi | Apr 1 | Nov 5 |
| Pinehurst, NC | 29 mi | Apr 1 | Nov 5 |
| Sanford, NC | 30 mi | Apr 10 | Oct 30 |
| Lumberton, NC | 31 mi | Mar 24 | Nov 11 |
Frequently asked questions
When is the last frost in Fayetteville?
On average, the last spring frost (32°F) in Fayetteville is around March 30. In about 1 year in 10 it comes after April 16, and in 9 years in 10 it comes after March 9.
When is the first frost in Fayetteville?
The first fall frost (32°F) usually arrives around November 10. There’s a 10% chance of a freeze by October 28 and a 90% chance by November 29.
Can it frost in Fayetteville after the last frost date?
Yes. Frost can form on clear, calm nights even when the air stays above 32°F. Temperatures of 36°F or lower, cold enough for frost on exposed plants, have a 50% chance of occurring after April 9.
What growing zone is Fayetteville?
Fayetteville is in USDA Plant Hardiness Zone 8a (average annual extreme minimum temperature 10 to 15°F), based on the 2023 USDA map for ZIP code 28303. See growing zones in North Carolina.
More: all North Carolina frost dates · North Carolina growing zones · UV index today in Fayetteville · frost vs. freeze