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Will it freeze in Concord in the next 7 nights?
No overnight lows at or below 32°F are forecast in Concord during the next 7 nights in the available NWS frost forecast.
Tonight: forecast low 62°F. Above 36°F.
NWS forecast period: Thu, Nov 5, 6:00 PM EST to Fri, Nov 6, 6:00 AM EST.
No nights at or below 36°F in the National Weather Service forecast for the next 7 nights.
- Tonight 62°F Above 36°F · Chance T-storms
- Fri, Nov 6 49°F Above 36°F · Mostly Clear
- Sat, Nov 7 39°F Above 36°F · Mostly Clear
- Sun, Nov 8 40°F Above 36°F · Mostly Clear
- Mon, Nov 9 41°F Above 36°F · Mostly Clear
- Tue, Nov 10 42°F Above 36°F · Partly Cloudy
- Wed, Nov 11 43°F Above 36°F · Mostly Clear
Overnight lows from the National Weather Service forecast for this location. This covers the available forecast window, not the first freeze of the whole season. Frost can form above 32°F on clear, calm nights.
Frost and freeze probabilities
Freeze dates shift from year to year. Spring percentages describe the chance of a freeze after the stated date; fall percentages describe the chance of a freeze by that date. The 10% spring date is the cautious one: a later freeze happens about 1 year in 10.
These dates describe historical probabilities, not this year’s forecast or the earliest and latest possible freezes. Different weather stations or probability thresholds can produce different published dates for the same city.
Average first hard freeze in Concord
The median first fall hard-freeze date (28°F) is November 13, from NOAA’s 1991–2020 Climate Normals at Concord. This is the 50% probability date, not a forecast for this year.
| Temperature | Last spring date 90% · 50% · 10% chance of a later freeze | First fall date 10% · 50% · 90% chance of an earlier freeze | Season |
|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F frost possible | Mar 30 · Apr 14 · Apr 30 | Oct 13 · Oct 24 · Nov 6 | 193 days |
| 32°F freeze | Mar 16 · Apr 1 · Apr 16 | Oct 21 · Nov 2 · Nov 15 | 215 days |
| 28°F hard freeze | Feb 28 · Mar 20 · Apr 5 | Nov 1 · Nov 13 · Dec 1 | 237 days |
Average high temperature by month
1991–2020 normals at Concord
Average low temperature by month
Months with lows near or below freezing carry frost risk
Where these frost dates come from
The frost dates for Concord, NC come from the nearest weather station with freeze statistics in NOAA’s 1991–2020 Climate Normals: Concord (station USC00311975, elevation 700 ft), 3.2 mi from Concord. Local conditions (valleys, hilltops, distance to water, city heat) can shift frost dates by days or weeks. The hardiness zone is from the 2023 USDA Plant Hardiness Zone Map (USDA ARS and Oregon State University PRISM). See our methodology.
Frost dates near Concord
| City | Distance | Last spring frost | First fall frost |
|---|---|---|---|
| Harrisburg, NC | 5.6 mi | Apr 1 | Nov 2 |
| Kannapolis, NC | 6.2 mi | Apr 1 | Nov 2 |
| Midland, NC | 12 mi | Apr 1 | Nov 2 |
| Davidson, NC | 12 mi | Apr 1 | Nov 2 |
| Huntersville, NC | 13 mi | Mar 30 | Nov 3 |
| Locust, NC | 14 mi | Apr 1 | Nov 2 |
| Mint Hill, NC | 15 mi | Mar 31 | Nov 5 |
| Cornelius, NC | 15 mi | Apr 1 | Nov 2 |
| Charlotte, NC | 17 mi | Mar 30 | Nov 3 |
| Mooresville, NC | 17 mi | Apr 9 | Oct 28 |
Frequently asked questions
When is the last frost in Concord?
On average, the last spring frost (32°F) in Concord is around April 1. In about 1 year in 10 it comes after April 16, and in 9 years in 10 it comes after March 16.
When is the first frost in Concord?
The first fall frost (32°F) usually arrives around November 2. There’s a 10% chance of a freeze by October 21 and a 90% chance by November 15.
Can it frost in Concord after the last frost date?
Yes. Frost can form on clear, calm nights even when the air stays above 32°F. Temperatures of 36°F or lower, cold enough for frost on exposed plants, have a 50% chance of occurring after April 14.
What growing zone is Concord?
Concord is in USDA Plant Hardiness Zone 8a (average annual extreme minimum temperature 10 to 15°F), based on the 2023 USDA map for ZIP code 28027. See growing zones in North Carolina.
More: all North Carolina frost dates · North Carolina growing zones · UV index today in Concord · frost vs. freeze