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Will it freeze in Flowood in the next 7 nights?
No overnight lows at or below 32°F are forecast in Flowood during the next 7 nights in the available NWS frost forecast.
Tonight: forecast low 48°F. Above 36°F.
NWS forecast period: Thu, Nov 5, 6:00 PM CST to Fri, Nov 6, 6:00 AM CST.
No nights at or below 36°F in the National Weather Service forecast for the next 7 nights.
- Tonight 48°F Above 36°F · Partly Cloudy then Patchy Fog
- Fri, Nov 6 45°F Above 36°F · Mostly Clear
- Sat, Nov 7 39°F Above 36°F · Partly Cloudy
- Sun, Nov 8 39°F Above 36°F · Mostly Cloudy
- Mon, Nov 9 41°F Above 36°F · Partly Cloudy
- Tue, Nov 10 42°F Above 36°F · Partly Cloudy
- Wed, Nov 11 44°F Above 36°F · Partly Cloudy
Overnight lows from the National Weather Service forecast for this location. This covers the available forecast window, not the first freeze of the whole season. Frost can form above 32°F on clear, calm nights.
Frost and freeze probabilities
Freeze dates shift from year to year. Spring percentages describe the chance of a freeze after the stated date; fall percentages describe the chance of a freeze by that date. The 10% spring date is the cautious one: a later freeze happens about 1 year in 10.
These dates describe historical probabilities, not this year’s forecast or the earliest and latest possible freezes. Different weather stations or probability thresholds can produce different published dates for the same city.
Average first hard freeze in Flowood
The median first fall hard-freeze date (28°F) is November 28, from NOAA’s 1991–2020 Climate Normals at Jackson Intl Airport. This is the 50% probability date, not a forecast for this year.
| Temperature | Last spring date 90% · 50% · 10% chance of a later freeze | First fall date 10% · 50% · 90% chance of an earlier freeze | Season |
|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F frost possible | Mar 9 · Mar 29 · Apr 16 | Oct 22 · Nov 3 · Nov 20 | 219 days |
| 32°F freeze | Feb 22 · Mar 14 · Apr 2 | Oct 31 · Nov 14 · Dec 4 | 245 days |
| 28°F hard freeze | Feb 2 · Feb 28 · Mar 17 | Nov 7 · Nov 28 · Dec 26 | 276 days |
Average high temperature by month
1991–2020 normals at Jackson Intl Airport
Average low temperature by month
Months with lows near or below freezing carry frost risk
Where these frost dates come from
The frost dates for Flowood, MS come from the nearest weather station with freeze statistics in NOAA’s 1991–2020 Climate Normals: Jackson Intl Airport (station USW00003940, elevation 296 ft), 1.2 mi from Flowood. Local conditions (valleys, hilltops, distance to water, city heat) can shift frost dates by days or weeks. The hardiness zone is from the 2023 USDA Plant Hardiness Zone Map (USDA ARS and Oregon State University PRISM). See our methodology.
Frost dates near Flowood
| City | Distance | Last spring frost | First fall frost |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pearl, MS | 4.3 mi | Mar 14 | Nov 14 |
| Brandon, MS | 6.2 mi | Mar 14 | Nov 14 |
| Ridgeland, MS | 8.1 mi | Mar 6 | Nov 19 |
| Jackson, MS | 8.1 mi | Mar 6 | Nov 19 |
| Richland, MS | 8.7 mi | Mar 14 | Nov 14 |
| Madison, MS | 9.9 mi | Mar 6 | Nov 19 |
| Clinton, MS | 16 mi | Mar 6 | Nov 19 |
| Byram, MS | 16 mi | Mar 6 | Nov 19 |
| Canton, MS | 18 mi | Mar 22 | Nov 6 |
| Forest, MS | 35 mi | Mar 28 | Nov 2 |
Frequently asked questions
When is the last frost in Flowood?
On average, the last spring frost (32°F) in Flowood is around March 14. In about 1 year in 10 it comes after April 2, and in 9 years in 10 it comes after February 22.
When is the first frost in Flowood?
The first fall frost (32°F) usually arrives around November 14. There’s a 10% chance of a freeze by October 31 and a 90% chance by December 4.
Can it frost in Flowood after the last frost date?
Yes. Frost can form on clear, calm nights even when the air stays above 32°F. Temperatures of 36°F or lower, cold enough for frost on exposed plants, have a 50% chance of occurring after March 29.
What growing zone is Flowood?
Flowood is in USDA Plant Hardiness Zone 8b (average annual extreme minimum temperature 15 to 20°F), based on the 2023 USDA map for ZIP code 39232. See growing zones in Mississippi.
More: all Mississippi frost dates · Mississippi growing zones · frost vs. freeze