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Will it freeze in Canton in the next 7 nights?
No overnight lows at or below 32°F are forecast in Canton during the next 7 nights in the available NWS frost forecast.
Tonight: forecast low 45°F. Above 36°F.
NWS forecast period: Thu, Nov 5, 6:00 PM CST to Fri, Nov 6, 6:00 AM CST.
No nights at or below 36°F in the National Weather Service forecast for the next 7 nights.
- Tonight 45°F Above 36°F · Partly Cloudy then Patchy Fog
- Fri, Nov 6 42°F Above 36°F · Mostly Clear
- Sat, Nov 7 37°F Above 36°F · Mostly Clear then Patchy Frost
- Sun, Nov 8 37°F Above 36°F · Partly Cloudy
- Mon, Nov 9 39°F Above 36°F · Partly Cloudy
- Tue, Nov 10 39°F Above 36°F · Mostly Clear
- Wed, Nov 11 41°F Above 36°F · Mostly Clear
Overnight lows from the National Weather Service forecast for this location. This covers the available forecast window, not the first freeze of the whole season. Frost can form above 32°F on clear, calm nights.
Frost and freeze probabilities
Freeze dates shift from year to year. Spring percentages describe the chance of a freeze after the stated date; fall percentages describe the chance of a freeze by that date. The 10% spring date is the cautious one: a later freeze happens about 1 year in 10.
These dates describe historical probabilities, not this year’s forecast or the earliest and latest possible freezes. Different weather stations or probability thresholds can produce different published dates for the same city.
Average first hard freeze in Canton
The median first fall hard-freeze date (28°F) is November 19, from NOAA’s 1991–2020 Climate Normals at Canton 4N. This is the 50% probability date, not a forecast for this year.
| Temperature | Last spring date 90% · 50% · 10% chance of a later freeze | First fall date 10% · 50% · 90% chance of an earlier freeze | Season |
|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F frost possible | Mar 16 · Apr 4 · Apr 21 | Oct 15 · Oct 28 · Nov 11 | 207 days |
| 32°F freeze | Feb 28 · Mar 22 · Apr 9 | Oct 23 · Nov 6 · Nov 25 | 230 days |
| 28°F hard freeze | Feb 15 · Mar 7 · Mar 27 | Nov 1 · Nov 19 · Dec 9 | 256 days |
Average high temperature by month
1991–2020 normals at Canton 4N
Average low temperature by month
Months with lows near or below freezing carry frost risk
Where these frost dates come from
The frost dates for Canton, MS come from the nearest weather station with freeze statistics in NOAA’s 1991–2020 Climate Normals: Canton 4N (station USC00221389, elevation 250 ft), 5.0 mi from Canton. Local conditions (valleys, hilltops, distance to water, city heat) can shift frost dates by days or weeks. The hardiness zone is from the 2023 USDA Plant Hardiness Zone Map (USDA ARS and Oregon State University PRISM). See our methodology.
Frost dates near Canton
| City | Distance | Last spring frost | First fall frost |
|---|---|---|---|
| Madison, MS | 11 mi | Mar 6 | Nov 19 |
| Ridgeland, MS | 14 mi | Mar 6 | Nov 19 |
| Flowood, MS | 18 mi | Mar 14 | Nov 14 |
| Jackson, MS | 22 mi | Mar 6 | Nov 19 |
| Brandon, MS | 22 mi | Mar 14 | Nov 14 |
| Pearl, MS | 23 mi | Mar 14 | Nov 14 |
| Clinton, MS | 25 mi | Mar 6 | Nov 19 |
| Richland, MS | 27 mi | Mar 14 | Nov 14 |
| Yazoo City, MS | 29 mi | Mar 4 | Nov 24 |
| Byram, MS | 32 mi | Mar 6 | Nov 19 |
Frequently asked questions
When is the last frost in Canton?
On average, the last spring frost (32°F) in Canton is around March 22. In about 1 year in 10 it comes after April 9, and in 9 years in 10 it comes after February 28.
When is the first frost in Canton?
The first fall frost (32°F) usually arrives around November 6. There’s a 10% chance of a freeze by October 23 and a 90% chance by November 25.
Can it frost in Canton after the last frost date?
Yes. Frost can form on clear, calm nights even when the air stays above 32°F. Temperatures of 36°F or lower, cold enough for frost on exposed plants, have a 50% chance of occurring after April 4.
What growing zone is Canton?
Canton is in USDA Plant Hardiness Zone 8b (average annual extreme minimum temperature 15 to 20°F), based on the 2023 USDA map for ZIP code 39046. See growing zones in Mississippi.
More: all Mississippi frost dates · Mississippi growing zones · frost vs. freeze