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Will it freeze in Valley Park in the next 7 nights?
The earliest overnight low at or below 32°F in the available NWS frost forecast is Fri, Nov 6: 32°F (Fri, Nov 6, 6:00 PM CST to Sat, Nov 7, 6:00 AM CST).
Tonight: forecast low 44°F. Above 36°F.
NWS forecast period: Thu, Nov 5, 6:00 PM CST to Fri, Nov 6, 6:00 AM CST.
3 of the next 7 nights are forecast at 36°F or colder, cold enough for frost on exposed plants.
- Tonight 44°F Above 36°F · Slight Chance Drizzle then Cloudy
- Fri, Nov 6 32°F Freeze · Mostly Clear
- Sat, Nov 7 33°F Frost possible · Mostly Clear
- Sun, Nov 8 36°F Frost possible · Clear
- Mon, Nov 9 41°F Above 36°F · Clear
- Tue, Nov 10 42°F Above 36°F · Mostly Clear
- Wed, Nov 11 43°F Above 36°F · Partly Cloudy
Overnight lows from the National Weather Service forecast for this location. This covers the available forecast window, not the first freeze of the whole season. Frost can form above 32°F on clear, calm nights.
Frost and freeze probabilities
Freeze dates shift from year to year. Spring percentages describe the chance of a freeze after the stated date; fall percentages describe the chance of a freeze by that date. The 10% spring date is the cautious one: a later freeze happens about 1 year in 10.
These dates describe historical probabilities, not this year’s forecast or the earliest and latest possible freezes. Different weather stations or probability thresholds can produce different published dates for the same city.
Average first hard freeze in Valley Park
The median first fall hard-freeze date (28°F) is November 8, from NOAA’s 1991–2020 Climate Normals at St Charles 7 Ssw. This is the 50% probability date, not a forecast for this year.
| Temperature | Last spring date 90% · 50% · 10% chance of a later freeze | First fall date 10% · 50% · 90% chance of an earlier freeze | Season |
|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F frost possible | Apr 3 · Apr 16 · May 1 | Oct 5 · Oct 19 · Oct 31 | 185 days |
| 32°F freeze | Mar 20 · Apr 4 · Apr 21 | Oct 15 · Oct 29 · Nov 11 | 206 days |
| 28°F hard freeze | Mar 8 · Mar 25 · Apr 8 | Oct 27 · Nov 8 · Nov 27 | 228 days |
Average high temperature by month
1991–2020 normals at St Charles 7 Ssw
Average low temperature by month
Months with lows near or below freezing carry frost risk
Where these frost dates come from
The frost dates for Valley Park, MO come from the nearest weather station with freeze statistics in NOAA’s 1991–2020 Climate Normals: St Charles 7 Ssw (station USC00237398, elevation 450 ft), 9.4 mi from Valley Park. Local conditions (valleys, hilltops, distance to water, city heat) can shift frost dates by days or weeks. The hardiness zone is from the 2023 USDA Plant Hardiness Zone Map (USDA ARS and Oregon State University PRISM). See our methodology.
Frost dates near Valley Park
| City | Distance | Last spring frost | First fall frost |
|---|---|---|---|
| Manchester, MO | 2.5 mi | Apr 4 | Oct 29 |
| Ballwin, MO | 4.3 mi | Apr 4 | Oct 29 |
| Des Peres, MO | 4.3 mi | Apr 4 | Oct 29 |
| Kirkwood, MO | 4.3 mi | Apr 1 | Nov 4 |
| Sunset Hills, MO | 5.0 mi | Apr 1 | Nov 4 |
| Town and Country, MO | 5.6 mi | Apr 4 | Oct 29 |
| Ellisville, MO | 5.6 mi | Apr 12 | Oct 23 |
| Crestwood, MO | 6.2 mi | Apr 1 | Nov 4 |
| Glendale, MO | 6.8 mi | Apr 1 | Nov 4 |
| Webster Groves, MO | 8.1 mi | Apr 1 | Nov 4 |
Frequently asked questions
When is the last frost in Valley Park?
On average, the last spring frost (32°F) in Valley Park is around April 4. In about 1 year in 10 it comes after April 21, and in 9 years in 10 it comes after March 20.
When is the first frost in Valley Park?
The first fall frost (32°F) usually arrives around October 29. There’s a 10% chance of a freeze by October 15 and a 90% chance by November 11.
Can it frost in Valley Park after the last frost date?
Yes. Frost can form on clear, calm nights even when the air stays above 32°F. Temperatures of 36°F or lower, cold enough for frost on exposed plants, have a 50% chance of occurring after April 16.
What growing zone is Valley Park?
Valley Park is in USDA Plant Hardiness Zone 6b (average annual extreme minimum temperature −5 to 0°F), based on the 2023 USDA map for ZIP code 63088. See growing zones in Missouri.
More: all Missouri frost dates · Missouri growing zones · frost vs. freeze