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Will it freeze in Poplar Bluff in the next 7 nights?
The earliest overnight low at or below 32°F in the available NWS frost forecast is Sat, Nov 7: 31°F (Sat, Nov 7, 6:00 PM CST to Sun, Nov 8, 6:00 AM CST).
Tonight: forecast low 43°F. Above 36°F.
NWS forecast period: Thu, Nov 5, 6:00 PM CST to Fri, Nov 6, 6:00 AM CST.
4 of the next 7 nights are forecast at 36°F or colder, cold enough for frost on exposed plants.
- Tonight 43°F Above 36°F · Mostly Clear
- Fri, Nov 6 34°F Frost possible · Mostly Clear
- Sat, Nov 7 31°F Freeze · Partly Cloudy
- Sun, Nov 8 33°F Frost possible · Clear
- Mon, Nov 9 36°F Frost possible · Mostly Clear
- Tue, Nov 10 39°F Above 36°F · Mostly Clear
- Wed, Nov 11 41°F Above 36°F · Partly Cloudy
Overnight lows from the National Weather Service forecast for this location. This covers the available forecast window, not the first freeze of the whole season. Frost can form above 32°F on clear, calm nights.
Frost and freeze probabilities
Freeze dates shift from year to year. Spring percentages describe the chance of a freeze after the stated date; fall percentages describe the chance of a freeze by that date. The 10% spring date is the cautious one: a later freeze happens about 1 year in 10.
These dates describe historical probabilities, not this year’s forecast or the earliest and latest possible freezes. Different weather stations or probability thresholds can produce different published dates for the same city.
Average first hard freeze in Poplar Bluff
The median first fall hard-freeze date (28°F) is November 15, from NOAA’s 1991–2020 Climate Normals at Poplar Bluff. This is the 50% probability date, not a forecast for this year.
| Temperature | Last spring date 90% · 50% · 10% chance of a later freeze | First fall date 10% · 50% · 90% chance of an earlier freeze | Season |
|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F frost possible | Mar 23 · Apr 9 · Apr 25 | Oct 13 · Oct 26 · Nov 6 | 200 days |
| 32°F freeze | Mar 10 · Mar 29 · Apr 12 | Oct 22 · Nov 5 · Nov 21 | 222 days |
| 28°F hard freeze | Feb 28 · Mar 16 · Apr 1 | Nov 1 · Nov 15 · Dec 4 | 244 days |
Average high temperature by month
1991–2020 normals at Poplar Bluff
Average low temperature by month
Months with lows near or below freezing carry frost risk
Where these frost dates come from
The frost dates for Poplar Bluff, MO come from the nearest weather station with freeze statistics in NOAA’s 1991–2020 Climate Normals: Poplar Bluff (station USC00236791, elevation 370 ft), 0.6 mi from Poplar Bluff. Local conditions (valleys, hilltops, distance to water, city heat) can shift frost dates by days or weeks. The hardiness zone is from the 2023 USDA Plant Hardiness Zone Map (USDA ARS and Oregon State University PRISM). See our methodology.
Frost dates near Poplar Bluff
| City | Distance | Last spring frost | First fall frost |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dexter, MO | 25 mi | Mar 29 | Nov 3 |
| Kennett, MO | 42 mi | Mar 31 | Nov 1 |
| Pocahontas, AR | 47 mi | Mar 31 | Nov 1 |
| Sikeston, MO | 47 mi | Mar 26 | Nov 6 |
| Paragould, AR | 50 mi | Mar 26 | Nov 6 |
| Walnut Ridge, AR | 55 mi | Mar 27 | Nov 5 |
| Caruthersville, MO | 58 mi | Mar 24 | Nov 9 |
| Jackson, MO | 60 mi | Apr 7 | Oct 29 |
| Cape Girardeau, MO | 60 mi | Apr 5 | Oct 25 |
| Blytheville, AR | 64 mi | Mar 18 | Nov 14 |
Frequently asked questions
When is the last frost in Poplar Bluff?
On average, the last spring frost (32°F) in Poplar Bluff is around March 29. In about 1 year in 10 it comes after April 12, and in 9 years in 10 it comes after March 10.
When is the first frost in Poplar Bluff?
The first fall frost (32°F) usually arrives around November 5. There’s a 10% chance of a freeze by October 22 and a 90% chance by November 21.
Can it frost in Poplar Bluff after the last frost date?
Yes. Frost can form on clear, calm nights even when the air stays above 32°F. Temperatures of 36°F or lower, cold enough for frost on exposed plants, have a 50% chance of occurring after April 9.
What growing zone is Poplar Bluff?
Poplar Bluff is in USDA Plant Hardiness Zone 7a (average annual extreme minimum temperature 0 to 5°F), based on the 2023 USDA map for ZIP code 63901. See growing zones in Missouri.
More: all Missouri frost dates · Missouri growing zones · frost vs. freeze