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Will it freeze in Walnut Ridge in the next 7 nights?
No overnight lows at or below 32°F are forecast in Walnut Ridge during the next 7 nights in the available NWS frost forecast.
Tonight: forecast low 46°F. Above 36°F.
NWS forecast period: Thu, Nov 5, 6:00 PM CST to Fri, Nov 6, 6:00 AM CST.
2 of the next 7 nights are forecast at 36°F or colder, cold enough for frost on exposed plants.
- Tonight 46°F Above 36°F · Mostly Clear
- Fri, Nov 6 37°F Above 36°F · Partly Cloudy
- Sat, Nov 7 34°F Frost possible · Mostly Clear
- Sun, Nov 8 35°F Frost possible · Mostly Clear
- Mon, Nov 9 38°F Above 36°F · Mostly Clear
- Tue, Nov 10 41°F Above 36°F · Mostly Clear
- Wed, Nov 11 43°F Above 36°F · Partly Cloudy
Overnight lows from the National Weather Service forecast for this location. This covers the available forecast window, not the first freeze of the whole season. Frost can form above 32°F on clear, calm nights.
Frost and freeze probabilities
Freeze dates shift from year to year. Spring percentages describe the chance of a freeze after the stated date; fall percentages describe the chance of a freeze by that date. The 10% spring date is the cautious one: a later freeze happens about 1 year in 10.
These dates describe historical probabilities, not this year’s forecast or the earliest and latest possible freezes. Different weather stations or probability thresholds can produce different published dates for the same city.
Average first hard freeze in Walnut Ridge
The median first fall hard-freeze date (28°F) is November 17, from NOAA’s 1991–2020 Climate Normals at Alicia 2NNE. This is the 50% probability date, not a forecast for this year.
| Temperature | Last spring date 90% · 50% · 10% chance of a later freeze | First fall date 10% · 50% · 90% chance of an earlier freeze | Season |
|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F frost possible | Mar 21 · Apr 4 · Apr 21 | Oct 15 · Oct 27 · Nov 10 | 204 days |
| 32°F freeze | Mar 10 · Mar 27 · Apr 10 | Oct 22 · Nov 5 · Nov 23 | 224 days |
| 28°F hard freeze | Feb 24 · Mar 13 · Apr 1 | Nov 1 · Nov 17 · Dec 7 | 249 days |
Average high temperature by month
1991–2020 normals at Alicia 2NNE
Average low temperature by month
Months with lows near or below freezing carry frost risk
Where these frost dates come from
The frost dates for Walnut Ridge, AR come from the nearest weather station with freeze statistics in NOAA’s 1991–2020 Climate Normals: Alicia 2NNE (station USC00030064, elevation 258 ft), 12 mi from Walnut Ridge. Local conditions (valleys, hilltops, distance to water, city heat) can shift frost dates by days or weeks. The hardiness zone is from the 2023 USDA Plant Hardiness Zone Map (USDA ARS and Oregon State University PRISM). See our methodology.
Frost dates near Walnut Ridge
| City | Distance | Last spring frost | First fall frost |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pocahontas, AR | 12 mi | Mar 31 | Nov 1 |
| Jonesboro, AR | 24 mi | Mar 23 | Nov 9 |
| Paragould, AR | 24 mi | Mar 26 | Nov 6 |
| Newport, AR | 35 mi | Mar 18 | Nov 11 |
| Trumann, AR | 37 mi | Mar 23 | Nov 9 |
| Batesville, AR | 43 mi | Mar 30 | Nov 5 |
| Kennett, MO | 52 mi | Mar 31 | Nov 1 |
| Poplar Bluff, MO | 55 mi | Mar 29 | Nov 5 |
| Blytheville, AR | 59 mi | Mar 18 | Nov 14 |
| Wynne, AR | 60 mi | Mar 23 | Nov 7 |
Frequently asked questions
When is the last frost in Walnut Ridge?
On average, the last spring frost (32°F) in Walnut Ridge is around March 27. In about 1 year in 10 it comes after April 10, and in 9 years in 10 it comes after March 10.
When is the first frost in Walnut Ridge?
The first fall frost (32°F) usually arrives around November 5. There’s a 10% chance of a freeze by October 22 and a 90% chance by November 23.
Can it frost in Walnut Ridge after the last frost date?
Yes. Frost can form on clear, calm nights even when the air stays above 32°F. Temperatures of 36°F or lower, cold enough for frost on exposed plants, have a 50% chance of occurring after April 4.
What growing zone is Walnut Ridge?
Walnut Ridge is in USDA Plant Hardiness Zone 8a (average annual extreme minimum temperature 10 to 15°F), based on the 2023 USDA map for ZIP code 72476. See growing zones in Arkansas.
More: all Arkansas frost dates · Arkansas growing zones · frost vs. freeze