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Will it freeze in Fraser in the next 7 nights?
No overnight lows at or below 32°F are forecast in Fraser during the next 7 nights in the available NWS frost forecast.
Tonight: forecast low 41°F. Above 36°F.
NWS forecast period: Thu, Nov 5, 6:00 PM EST to Fri, Nov 6, 6:00 AM EST.
4 of the next 7 nights are forecast at 36°F or colder, cold enough for frost on exposed plants.
- Tonight 41°F Above 36°F · Light Rain Likely
- Fri, Nov 6 36°F Frost possible · Chance Light Rain
- Sat, Nov 7 33°F Frost possible · Partly Cloudy
- Sun, Nov 8 35°F Frost possible · Mostly Clear
- Mon, Nov 9 42°F Above 36°F · Mostly Clear
- Tue, Nov 10 37°F Above 36°F · Partly Cloudy
- Wed, Nov 11 35°F Frost possible · Partly Cloudy
Overnight lows from the National Weather Service forecast for this location. This covers the available forecast window, not the first freeze of the whole season. Frost can form above 32°F on clear, calm nights.
Frost and freeze probabilities
Freeze dates shift from year to year. Spring percentages describe the chance of a freeze after the stated date; fall percentages describe the chance of a freeze by that date. The 10% spring date is the cautious one: a later freeze happens about 1 year in 10.
These dates describe historical probabilities, not this year’s forecast or the earliest and latest possible freezes. Different weather stations or probability thresholds can produce different published dates for the same city.
Average first hard freeze in Fraser
The median first fall hard-freeze date (28°F) is November 3, from NOAA’s 1991–2020 Climate Normals at Mt Clemens Ang Base. This is the 50% probability date, not a forecast for this year.
| Temperature | Last spring date 90% · 50% · 10% chance of a later freeze | First fall date 10% · 50% · 90% chance of an earlier freeze | Season |
|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F frost possible | Apr 28 · May 11 · May 28 | Sep 26 · Oct 9 · Oct 24 | 150 days |
| 32°F freeze | Apr 16 · Apr 30 · May 15 | Oct 7 · Oct 24 · Nov 3 | 174 days |
| 28°F hard freeze | Apr 3 · Apr 18 · May 3 | Oct 20 · Nov 3 · Nov 15 | 196 days |
Average high temperature by month
1991–2020 normals at Mt Clemens Ang Base
Average low temperature by month
Months with lows near or below freezing carry frost risk
Where these frost dates come from
The frost dates for Fraser, MI come from the nearest weather station with freeze statistics in NOAA’s 1991–2020 Climate Normals: Mt Clemens Ang Base (station USW00014804, elevation 580 ft), 8.1 mi from Fraser. Local conditions (valleys, hilltops, distance to water, city heat) can shift frost dates by days or weeks. The hardiness zone is from the 2023 USDA Plant Hardiness Zone Map (USDA ARS and Oregon State University PRISM). See our methodology.
Frost dates near Fraser
| City | Distance | Last spring frost | First fall frost |
|---|---|---|---|
| Roseville, MI | 1.9 mi | Apr 29 | Oct 22 |
| St. Clair Shores, MI | 4.3 mi | Apr 29 | Oct 22 |
| Eastpointe, MI | 5.0 mi | Apr 29 | Oct 22 |
| Warren, MI | 5.0 mi | Apr 21 | Oct 31 |
| Sterling Heights, MI | 5.0 mi | Apr 30 | Oct 24 |
| Mount Clemens, MI | 5.6 mi | Apr 30 | Oct 24 |
| Center Line, MI | 5.6 mi | Apr 21 | Oct 31 |
| Harper Woods, MI | 6.8 mi | Apr 29 | Oct 22 |
| Grosse Pointe Woods, MI | 7.5 mi | Apr 29 | Oct 22 |
| Utica, MI | 7.5 mi | Apr 30 | Oct 24 |
Frequently asked questions
When is the last frost in Fraser?
On average, the last spring frost (32°F) in Fraser is around April 30. In about 1 year in 10 it comes after May 15, and in 9 years in 10 it comes after April 16.
When is the first frost in Fraser?
The first fall frost (32°F) usually arrives around October 24. There’s a 10% chance of a freeze by October 7 and a 90% chance by November 3.
Can it frost in Fraser after the last frost date?
Yes. Frost can form on clear, calm nights even when the air stays above 32°F. Temperatures of 36°F or lower, cold enough for frost on exposed plants, have a 50% chance of occurring after May 11.
What growing zone is Fraser?
Fraser is in USDA Plant Hardiness Zone 6b (average annual extreme minimum temperature −5 to 0°F), based on the 2023 USDA map for ZIP code 48026. See growing zones in Michigan.
More: all Michigan frost dates · Michigan growing zones · frost vs. freeze