Checking current alerts… View NWS forecast and alerts.
Will it freeze in Escanaba in the next 7 nights?
The earliest overnight low at or below 32°F in the available NWS frost forecast is Tonight: 28°F (Thu, Nov 5, 6:00 PM EST to Fri, Nov 6, 6:00 AM EST).
Tonight: forecast low 28°F. Hard freeze.
NWS forecast period: Thu, Nov 5, 6:00 PM EST to Fri, Nov 6, 6:00 AM EST.
7 of the next 7 nights are forecast at 36°F or colder, cold enough for frost on exposed plants.
- Tonight 28°F Hard freeze · Chance Rain Showers then Chance Snow Showers
- Fri, Nov 6 26°F Hard freeze · Partly Cloudy
- Sat, Nov 7 28°F Hard freeze · Partly Cloudy
- Sun, Nov 8 29°F Freeze · Partly Cloudy
- Mon, Nov 9 35°F Frost possible · Partly Cloudy
- Tue, Nov 10 30°F Freeze · Partly Cloudy
- Wed, Nov 11 30°F Freeze · Slight Chance Rain Showers
Overnight lows from the National Weather Service forecast for this location. This covers the available forecast window, not the first freeze of the whole season. Frost can form above 32°F on clear, calm nights.
Frost and freeze probabilities
Freeze dates shift from year to year. Spring percentages describe the chance of a freeze after the stated date; fall percentages describe the chance of a freeze by that date. The 10% spring date is the cautious one: a later freeze happens about 1 year in 10.
These dates describe historical probabilities, not this year’s forecast or the earliest and latest possible freezes. Different weather stations or probability thresholds can produce different published dates for the same city.
Average first hard freeze in Escanaba
The median first fall hard-freeze date (28°F) is October 20, from NOAA’s 1991–2020 Climate Normals at Escanaba. This is the 50% probability date, not a forecast for this year.
| Temperature | Last spring date 90% · 50% · 10% chance of a later freeze | First fall date 10% · 50% · 90% chance of an earlier freeze | Season |
|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F frost possible | May 12 · May 27 · Jun 11 | Sep 15 · Sep 29 · Oct 9 | 123 days |
| 32°F freeze | Apr 30 · May 13 · May 31 | Sep 26 · Oct 7 · Oct 20 | 147 days |
| 28°F hard freeze | Apr 19 · Apr 30 · May 16 | Oct 5 · Oct 20 · Nov 3 | 171 days |
Average high temperature by month
1991–2020 normals at Escanaba
Average low temperature by month
Months with lows near or below freezing carry frost risk
Where these frost dates come from
The frost dates for Escanaba, MI come from the nearest weather station with freeze statistics in NOAA’s 1991–2020 Climate Normals: Escanaba (station USW00014824, elevation 590 ft), 2.0 mi from Escanaba. Local conditions (valleys, hilltops, distance to water, city heat) can shift frost dates by days or weeks. The hardiness zone is from the 2023 USDA Plant Hardiness Zone Map (USDA ARS and Oregon State University PRISM). See our methodology.
Frost dates near Escanaba
| City | Distance | Last spring frost | First fall frost |
|---|---|---|---|
| Gladstone, MI | 7.5 mi | May 18 | Oct 4 |
| Iron Mountain, MI | 47 mi | May 25 | Sep 24 |
| Kingsford, MI | 49 mi | May 25 | Sep 24 |
| Menominee, MI | 50 mi | May 4 | Oct 11 |
| Marinette, WI | 53 mi | May 4 | Oct 11 |
| Ishpeming, MI | 58 mi | May 26 | Sep 25 |
| Marquette, MI | 58 mi | May 8 | Oct 21 |
| Sturgeon Bay, WI | 65 mi | May 8 | Oct 13 |
| Suamico, WI | 90 mi | May 7 | Oct 9 |
| Howard, WI | 94 mi | May 7 | Oct 9 |
Frequently asked questions
When is the last frost in Escanaba?
On average, the last spring frost (32°F) in Escanaba is around May 13. In about 1 year in 10 it comes after May 31, and in 9 years in 10 it comes after April 30.
When is the first frost in Escanaba?
The first fall frost (32°F) usually arrives around October 7. There’s a 10% chance of a freeze by September 26 and a 90% chance by October 20.
Can it frost in Escanaba after the last frost date?
Yes. Frost can form on clear, calm nights even when the air stays above 32°F. Temperatures of 36°F or lower, cold enough for frost on exposed plants, have a 50% chance of occurring after May 27.
What growing zone is Escanaba?
Escanaba is in USDA Plant Hardiness Zone 5a (average annual extreme minimum temperature −20 to −15°F), based on the 2023 USDA map for ZIP code 49894. See growing zones in Michigan.
More: all Michigan frost dates · Michigan growing zones · frost vs. freeze