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Will it freeze in Middlesborough in the next 7 nights?
The earliest overnight low at or below 32°F in the available NWS frost forecast is Sat, Nov 7: 32°F (Sat, Nov 7, 6:00 PM EST to Sun, Nov 8, 6:00 AM EST).
Tonight: forecast low 45°F. Above 36°F.
NWS forecast period: Thu, Nov 5, 6:00 PM EST to Fri, Nov 6, 6:00 AM EST.
4 of the next 7 nights are forecast at 36°F or colder, cold enough for frost on exposed plants.
- Tonight 45°F Above 36°F · Areas Of Fog
- Fri, Nov 6 39°F Above 36°F · Mostly Cloudy
- Sat, Nov 7 32°F Freeze · Partly Cloudy then Areas Of Frost
- Sun, Nov 8 32°F Freeze · Mostly Clear then Areas Of Frost
- Mon, Nov 9 36°F Frost possible · Mostly Clear
- Tue, Nov 10 36°F Frost possible · Mostly Clear
- Wed, Nov 11 37°F Above 36°F · Mostly Clear
Overnight lows from the National Weather Service forecast for this location. This covers the available forecast window, not the first freeze of the whole season. Frost can form above 32°F on clear, calm nights.
Frost and freeze probabilities
Freeze dates shift from year to year. Spring percentages describe the chance of a freeze after the stated date; fall percentages describe the chance of a freeze by that date. The 10% spring date is the cautious one: a later freeze happens about 1 year in 10.
These dates describe historical probabilities, not this year’s forecast or the earliest and latest possible freezes. Different weather stations or probability thresholds can produce different published dates for the same city.
Average first hard freeze in Middlesborough
The median first fall hard-freeze date (28°F) is October 28, from NOAA’s 1991–2020 Climate Normals at Tazewell. This is the 50% probability date, not a forecast for this year.
| Temperature | Last spring date 90% · 50% · 10% chance of a later freeze | First fall date 10% · 50% · 90% chance of an earlier freeze | Season |
|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F frost possible | Apr 20 · May 5 · May 20 | Oct 1 · Oct 11 · Oct 23 | 158 days |
| 32°F freeze | Apr 9 · Apr 23 · May 11 | Oct 8 · Oct 19 · Nov 1 | 177 days |
| 28°F hard freeze | Mar 26 · Apr 10 · Apr 26 | Oct 15 · Oct 28 · Nov 8 | 199 days |
Average high temperature by month
1991–2020 normals at Tazewell
Average low temperature by month
Months with lows near or below freezing carry frost risk
Where these frost dates come from
The frost dates for Middlesborough, KY come from the nearest weather station with freeze statistics in NOAA’s 1991–2020 Climate Normals: Tazewell (station USC00408868, elevation 1,365 ft), 14 mi from Middlesborough. Local conditions (valleys, hilltops, distance to water, city heat) can shift frost dates by days or weeks. The hardiness zone is from the 2023 USDA Plant Hardiness Zone Map (USDA ARS and Oregon State University PRISM). See our methodology.
Frost dates near Middlesborough
| City | Distance | Last spring frost | First fall frost |
|---|---|---|---|
| Williamsburg, KY | 26 mi | Apr 21 | Oct 22 |
| La Follette, TN | 28 mi | Apr 22 | Oct 25 |
| Corbin, KY | 30 mi | Apr 15 | Oct 25 |
| Jefferson City, TN | 37 mi | Apr 24 | Oct 17 |
| Morristown, TN | 37 mi | Apr 10 | Oct 28 |
| London, KY | 40 mi | Apr 15 | Oct 25 |
| Clinton, TN | 42 mi | Mar 31 | Nov 4 |
| Knoxville, TN | 46 mi | Apr 11 | Oct 28 |
| Sevierville, TN | 50 mi | Apr 6 | Oct 29 |
| Newport, TN | 53 mi | Apr 7 | Oct 29 |
Frequently asked questions
When is the last frost in Middlesborough?
On average, the last spring frost (32°F) in Middlesborough is around April 23. In about 1 year in 10 it comes after May 11, and in 9 years in 10 it comes after April 9.
When is the first frost in Middlesborough?
The first fall frost (32°F) usually arrives around October 19. There’s a 10% chance of a freeze by October 8 and a 90% chance by November 1.
Can it frost in Middlesborough after the last frost date?
Yes. Frost can form on clear, calm nights even when the air stays above 32°F. Temperatures of 36°F or lower, cold enough for frost on exposed plants, have a 50% chance of occurring after May 5.
What growing zone is Middlesborough?
Middlesborough is in USDA Plant Hardiness Zone 7a (average annual extreme minimum temperature 0 to 5°F), based on the 2023 USDA map for ZIP code 40965. See growing zones in Kentucky.
More: all Kentucky frost dates · Kentucky growing zones · frost vs. freeze