Checking current alerts… View NWS forecast and alerts.
Will it freeze in Bel Aire in the next 7 nights?
No overnight lows at or below 32°F are forecast in Bel Aire during the next 7 nights in the available NWS frost forecast.
Tonight: forecast low 38°F. Above 36°F.
NWS forecast period: Thu, Nov 5, 6:00 PM CST to Fri, Nov 6, 6:00 AM CST.
1 of the next 7 nights are forecast at 36°F or colder, cold enough for frost on exposed plants.
- Tonight 38°F Above 36°F · Mostly Cloudy
- Fri, Nov 6 35°F Frost possible · Mostly Cloudy
- Sat, Nov 7 38°F Above 36°F · Mostly Clear
- Sun, Nov 8 41°F Above 36°F · Clear
- Mon, Nov 9 45°F Above 36°F · Clear
- Tue, Nov 10 47°F Above 36°F · Mostly Clear
- Wed, Nov 11 46°F Above 36°F · Mostly Clear
Overnight lows from the National Weather Service forecast for this location. This covers the available forecast window, not the first freeze of the whole season. Frost can form above 32°F on clear, calm nights.
Frost and freeze probabilities
Freeze dates shift from year to year. Spring percentages describe the chance of a freeze after the stated date; fall percentages describe the chance of a freeze by that date. The 10% spring date is the cautious one: a later freeze happens about 1 year in 10.
These dates describe historical probabilities, not this year’s forecast or the earliest and latest possible freezes. Different weather stations or probability thresholds can produce different published dates for the same city.
Average first hard freeze in Bel Aire
The median first fall hard-freeze date (28°F) is November 5, from NOAA’s 1991–2020 Climate Normals at Wichita Jabara Airport. This is the 50% probability date, not a forecast for this year.
| Temperature | Last spring date 90% · 50% · 10% chance of a later freeze | First fall date 10% · 50% · 90% chance of an earlier freeze | Season |
|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F frost possible | Apr 5 · Apr 22 · May 6 | Oct 1 · Oct 18 · Oct 31 | 177 days |
| 32°F freeze | Mar 25 · Apr 10 · Apr 27 | Oct 13 · Oct 27 · Nov 9 | 198 days |
| 28°F hard freeze | Mar 12 · Mar 30 · Apr 14 | Oct 20 · Nov 5 · Nov 20 | 218 days |
Average high temperature by month
1991–2020 normals at Wichita Jabara Airport
Average low temperature by month
Months with lows near or below freezing carry frost risk
Where these frost dates come from
The frost dates for Bel Aire, KS come from the nearest weather station with freeze statistics in NOAA’s 1991–2020 Climate Normals: Wichita Jabara Airport (station USW00003974, elevation 1,421 ft), 2.5 mi from Bel Aire. Local conditions (valleys, hilltops, distance to water, city heat) can shift frost dates by days or weeks. The hardiness zone is from the 2023 USDA Plant Hardiness Zone Map (USDA ARS and Oregon State University PRISM). See our methodology.
Frost dates near Bel Aire
| City | Distance | Last spring frost | First fall frost |
|---|---|---|---|
| Park City, KS | 5.0 mi | Apr 10 | Oct 27 |
| Valley Center, KS | 7.5 mi | Apr 10 | Oct 27 |
| Wichita, KS | 8.1 mi | Apr 11 | Oct 29 |
| Andover, KS | 8.7 mi | Apr 10 | Oct 27 |
| Maize, KS | 12 mi | Apr 8 | Oct 27 |
| Derby, KS | 15 mi | Apr 14 | Oct 22 |
| Haysville, KS | 16 mi | Apr 14 | Oct 22 |
| Augusta, KS | 16 mi | Apr 13 | Oct 25 |
| Goddard, KS | 19 mi | Apr 8 | Oct 27 |
| Newton, KS | 19 mi | Apr 14 | Oct 25 |
Frequently asked questions
When is the last frost in Bel Aire?
On average, the last spring frost (32°F) in Bel Aire is around April 10. In about 1 year in 10 it comes after April 27, and in 9 years in 10 it comes after March 25.
When is the first frost in Bel Aire?
The first fall frost (32°F) usually arrives around October 27. There’s a 10% chance of a freeze by October 13 and a 90% chance by November 9.
Can it frost in Bel Aire after the last frost date?
Yes. Frost can form on clear, calm nights even when the air stays above 32°F. Temperatures of 36°F or lower, cold enough for frost on exposed plants, have a 50% chance of occurring after April 22.
What growing zone is Bel Aire?
Bel Aire is in USDA Plant Hardiness Zone 7a (average annual extreme minimum temperature 0 to 5°F), based on the 2023 USDA map for ZIP code 67226. See growing zones in Kansas.
More: all Kansas frost dates · Kansas growing zones · frost vs. freeze