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Will it freeze in Nappanee in the next 7 nights?
The earliest overnight low at or below 32°F in the available NWS frost forecast is Sat, Nov 7: 31°F (Sat, Nov 7, 6:00 PM EST to Sun, Nov 8, 6:00 AM EST).
Tonight: forecast low 39°F. Above 36°F.
NWS forecast period: Thu, Nov 5, 6:00 PM EST to Fri, Nov 6, 6:00 AM EST.
4 of the next 7 nights are forecast at 36°F or colder, cold enough for frost on exposed plants.
- Tonight 39°F Above 36°F · Rain Showers Likely
- Fri, Nov 6 36°F Frost possible · Chance Rain Showers
- Sat, Nov 7 31°F Freeze · Partly Cloudy
- Sun, Nov 8 34°F Frost possible · Mostly Clear
- Mon, Nov 9 41°F Above 36°F · Mostly Clear
- Tue, Nov 10 35°F Frost possible · Mostly Clear
- Wed, Nov 11 37°F Above 36°F · Partly Cloudy
Overnight lows from the National Weather Service forecast for this location. This covers the available forecast window, not the first freeze of the whole season. Frost can form above 32°F on clear, calm nights.
Frost and freeze probabilities
Freeze dates shift from year to year. Spring percentages describe the chance of a freeze after the stated date; fall percentages describe the chance of a freeze by that date. The 10% spring date is the cautious one: a later freeze happens about 1 year in 10.
These dates describe historical probabilities, not this year’s forecast or the earliest and latest possible freezes. Different weather stations or probability thresholds can produce different published dates for the same city.
Average first hard freeze in Nappanee
The median first fall hard-freeze date (28°F) is November 1, from NOAA’s 1991–2020 Climate Normals at Goshen 3SW. This is the 50% probability date, not a forecast for this year.
| Temperature | Last spring date 90% · 50% · 10% chance of a later freeze | First fall date 10% · 50% · 90% chance of an earlier freeze | Season |
|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F frost possible | Apr 23 · May 6 · May 21 | Sep 26 · Oct 7 · Oct 21 | 153 days |
| 32°F freeze | Apr 13 · Apr 26 · May 12 | Oct 6 · Oct 21 · Nov 2 | 175 days |
| 28°F hard freeze | Apr 1 · Apr 16 · May 1 | Oct 19 · Nov 1 · Nov 14 | 199 days |
Average high temperature by month
1991–2020 normals at Goshen 3SW
Average low temperature by month
Months with lows near or below freezing carry frost risk
Where these frost dates come from
The frost dates for Nappanee, IN come from the nearest weather station with freeze statistics in NOAA’s 1991–2020 Climate Normals: Goshen 3SW (station USC00123418, elevation 875 ft), 9.7 mi from Nappanee. Local conditions (valleys, hilltops, distance to water, city heat) can shift frost dates by days or weeks. The hardiness zone is from the 2023 USDA Plant Hardiness Zone Map (USDA ARS and Oregon State University PRISM). See our methodology.
Frost dates near Nappanee
| City | Distance | Last spring frost | First fall frost |
|---|---|---|---|
| Goshen, IN | 12 mi | Apr 26 | Oct 21 |
| Warsaw, IN | 16 mi | Apr 28 | Oct 18 |
| Elkhart, IN | 17 mi | Apr 26 | Oct 21 |
| Plymouth, IN | 18 mi | Apr 25 | Oct 21 |
| Mishawaka, IN | 18 mi | Apr 23 | Oct 23 |
| Winona Lake, IN | 19 mi | Apr 28 | Oct 18 |
| South Bend, IN | 21 mi | Apr 23 | Oct 23 |
| Rochester, IN | 29 mi | Apr 23 | Oct 21 |
| Niles, MI | 30 mi | Apr 27 | Oct 25 |
| North Manchester, IN | 32 mi | Apr 26 | Oct 19 |
Frequently asked questions
When is the last frost in Nappanee?
On average, the last spring frost (32°F) in Nappanee is around April 26. In about 1 year in 10 it comes after May 12, and in 9 years in 10 it comes after April 13.
When is the first frost in Nappanee?
The first fall frost (32°F) usually arrives around October 21. There’s a 10% chance of a freeze by October 6 and a 90% chance by November 2.
Can it frost in Nappanee after the last frost date?
Yes. Frost can form on clear, calm nights even when the air stays above 32°F. Temperatures of 36°F or lower, cold enough for frost on exposed plants, have a 50% chance of occurring after May 6.
What growing zone is Nappanee?
Nappanee is in USDA Plant Hardiness Zone 6a (average annual extreme minimum temperature −10 to −5°F), based on the 2023 USDA map for ZIP code 46550. See growing zones in Indiana.
More: all Indiana frost dates · Indiana growing zones · frost vs. freeze