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Will it freeze in Lawrenceburg in the next 7 nights?
The earliest overnight low at or below 32°F in the available NWS frost forecast is Sat, Nov 7: 31°F (Sat, Nov 7, 6:00 PM EST to Sun, Nov 8, 6:00 AM EST).
Tonight: forecast low 43°F. Above 36°F.
NWS forecast period: Thu, Nov 5, 6:00 PM EST to Fri, Nov 6, 6:00 AM EST.
5 of the next 7 nights are forecast at 36°F or colder, cold enough for frost on exposed plants.
- Tonight 43°F Above 36°F · Partly Cloudy
- Fri, Nov 6 34°F Frost possible · Partly Cloudy
- Sat, Nov 7 31°F Freeze · Partly Cloudy
- Sun, Nov 8 32°F Freeze · Mostly Clear
- Mon, Nov 9 36°F Frost possible · Mostly Clear
- Tue, Nov 10 35°F Frost possible · Mostly Clear
- Wed, Nov 11 37°F Above 36°F · Partly Cloudy
Overnight lows from the National Weather Service forecast for this location. This covers the available forecast window, not the first freeze of the whole season. Frost can form above 32°F on clear, calm nights.
Frost and freeze probabilities
Freeze dates shift from year to year. Spring percentages describe the chance of a freeze after the stated date; fall percentages describe the chance of a freeze by that date. The 10% spring date is the cautious one: a later freeze happens about 1 year in 10.
These dates describe historical probabilities, not this year’s forecast or the earliest and latest possible freezes. Different weather stations or probability thresholds can produce different published dates for the same city.
Average first hard freeze in Lawrenceburg
The median first fall hard-freeze date (28°F) is November 10, from NOAA’s 1991–2020 Climate Normals at Cincinnati-Fernbank. This is the 50% probability date, not a forecast for this year.
| Temperature | Last spring date 90% · 50% · 10% chance of a later freeze | First fall date 10% · 50% · 90% chance of an earlier freeze | Season |
|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F frost possible | Apr 12 · Apr 26 · May 13 | Oct 7 · Oct 20 · Nov 1 | 174 days |
| 32°F freeze | Mar 31 · Apr 13 · May 2 | Oct 17 · Oct 31 · Nov 13 | 197 days |
| 28°F hard freeze | Mar 16 · Mar 31 · Apr 15 | Oct 30 · Nov 10 · Nov 29 | 225 days |
Average high temperature by month
1991–2020 normals at Cincinnati-Fernbank
Average low temperature by month
Months with lows near or below freezing carry frost risk
Where these frost dates come from
The frost dates for Lawrenceburg, IN come from the nearest weather station with freeze statistics in NOAA’s 1991–2020 Climate Normals: Cincinnati-Fernbank (station USC00331550, elevation 500 ft), 9.6 mi from Lawrenceburg. Local conditions (valleys, hilltops, distance to water, city heat) can shift frost dates by days or weeks. The hardiness zone is from the 2023 USDA Plant Hardiness Zone Map (USDA ARS and Oregon State University PRISM). See our methodology.
Frost dates near Lawrenceburg
| City | Distance | Last spring frost | First fall frost |
|---|---|---|---|
| Harrison, OH | 11 mi | Apr 16 | Oct 28 |
| Cheviot, OH | 14 mi | Apr 17 | Oct 26 |
| Florence, KY | 14 mi | Apr 18 | Oct 25 |
| Villa Hills, KY | 15 mi | Apr 18 | Oct 25 |
| Union, KY | 16 mi | Apr 18 | Oct 25 |
| Erlanger, KY | 16 mi | Apr 18 | Oct 25 |
| Elsmere, KY | 17 mi | Apr 18 | Oct 25 |
| Fort Mitchell, KY | 17 mi | Apr 18 | Oct 25 |
| Edgewood, KY | 18 mi | Apr 18 | Oct 25 |
| Fort Wright, KY | 19 mi | Apr 18 | Oct 25 |
Frequently asked questions
When is the last frost in Lawrenceburg?
On average, the last spring frost (32°F) in Lawrenceburg is around April 13. In about 1 year in 10 it comes after May 2, and in 9 years in 10 it comes after March 31.
When is the first frost in Lawrenceburg?
The first fall frost (32°F) usually arrives around October 31. There’s a 10% chance of a freeze by October 17 and a 90% chance by November 13.
Can it frost in Lawrenceburg after the last frost date?
Yes. Frost can form on clear, calm nights even when the air stays above 32°F. Temperatures of 36°F or lower, cold enough for frost on exposed plants, have a 50% chance of occurring after April 26.
What growing zone is Lawrenceburg?
Lawrenceburg is in USDA Plant Hardiness Zone 6b (average annual extreme minimum temperature −5 to 0°F), based on the 2023 USDA map for ZIP code 47025. See growing zones in Indiana.
More: all Indiana frost dates · Indiana growing zones · frost vs. freeze