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Will it freeze in Connersville in the next 7 nights?
The earliest overnight low at or below 32°F in the available NWS frost forecast is Sat, Nov 7: 30°F (Sat, Nov 7, 6:00 PM EST to Sun, Nov 8, 6:00 AM EST).
Tonight: forecast low 43°F. Above 36°F.
NWS forecast period: Thu, Nov 5, 6:00 PM EST to Fri, Nov 6, 6:00 AM EST.
5 of the next 7 nights are forecast at 36°F or colder, cold enough for frost on exposed plants.
- Tonight 43°F Above 36°F · Mostly Cloudy then Slight Chance Light Rain
- Fri, Nov 6 34°F Frost possible · Partly Cloudy
- Sat, Nov 7 30°F Freeze · Partly Cloudy
- Sun, Nov 8 32°F Freeze · Mostly Clear
- Mon, Nov 9 37°F Above 36°F · Mostly Clear
- Tue, Nov 10 35°F Frost possible · Mostly Clear
- Wed, Nov 11 35°F Frost possible · Partly Cloudy
Overnight lows from the National Weather Service forecast for this location. This covers the available forecast window, not the first freeze of the whole season. Frost can form above 32°F on clear, calm nights.
Frost and freeze probabilities
Freeze dates shift from year to year. Spring percentages describe the chance of a freeze after the stated date; fall percentages describe the chance of a freeze by that date. The 10% spring date is the cautious one: a later freeze happens about 1 year in 10.
These dates describe historical probabilities, not this year’s forecast or the earliest and latest possible freezes. Different weather stations or probability thresholds can produce different published dates for the same city.
Average first hard freeze in Connersville
The median first fall hard-freeze date (28°F) is October 20, from NOAA’s 1991–2020 Climate Normals at Cambridge City 3 N. This is the 50% probability date, not a forecast for this year.
| Temperature | Last spring date 90% · 50% · 10% chance of a later freeze | First fall date 10% · 50% · 90% chance of an earlier freeze | Season |
|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F frost possible | Apr 24 · May 5 · May 19 | Sep 19 · Sep 30 · Oct 11 | 147 days |
| 32°F freeze | Apr 16 · Apr 27 · May 10 | Sep 28 · Oct 9 · Oct 22 | 164 days |
| 28°F hard freeze | Apr 6 · Apr 18 · May 1 | Oct 6 · Oct 20 · Nov 1 | 184 days |
Average high temperature by month
1991–2020 normals at Cambridge City 3 N
Average low temperature by month
Months with lows near or below freezing carry frost risk
Where these frost dates come from
The frost dates for Connersville, IN come from the nearest weather station with freeze statistics in NOAA’s 1991–2020 Climate Normals: Cambridge City 3 N (station USC00121229, elevation 1,000 ft), 15 mi from Connersville. Local conditions (valleys, hilltops, distance to water, city heat) can shift frost dates by days or weeks. The hardiness zone is from the 2023 USDA Plant Hardiness Zone Map (USDA ARS and Oregon State University PRISM). See our methodology.
Frost dates near Connersville
| City | Distance | Last spring frost | First fall frost |
|---|---|---|---|
| Rushville, IN | 16 mi | Apr 19 | Oct 23 |
| Richmond, IN | 18 mi | Apr 24 | Oct 20 |
| New Castle, IN | 22 mi | Apr 27 | Oct 17 |
| Oxford, OH | 24 mi | Apr 19 | Oct 22 |
| Batesville, IN | 25 mi | Apr 30 | Oct 16 |
| Eaton, OH | 28 mi | Apr 25 | Oct 20 |
| Greensburg, IN | 29 mi | Apr 15 | Oct 26 |
| Harrison, OH | 34 mi | Apr 16 | Oct 28 |
| Shelbyville, IN | 35 mi | Apr 17 | Oct 22 |
| Greenfield, IN | 35 mi | Apr 19 | Oct 22 |
Frequently asked questions
When is the last frost in Connersville?
On average, the last spring frost (32°F) in Connersville is around April 27. In about 1 year in 10 it comes after May 10, and in 9 years in 10 it comes after April 16.
When is the first frost in Connersville?
The first fall frost (32°F) usually arrives around October 9. There’s a 10% chance of a freeze by September 28 and a 90% chance by October 22.
Can it frost in Connersville after the last frost date?
Yes. Frost can form on clear, calm nights even when the air stays above 32°F. Temperatures of 36°F or lower, cold enough for frost on exposed plants, have a 50% chance of occurring after May 5.
What growing zone is Connersville?
Connersville is in USDA Plant Hardiness Zone 6a (average annual extreme minimum temperature −10 to −5°F), based on the 2023 USDA map for ZIP code 47331. See growing zones in Indiana.
More: all Indiana frost dates · Indiana growing zones · frost vs. freeze