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Will it freeze in Monticello in the next 7 nights?
The earliest overnight low at or below 32°F in the available NWS frost forecast is Fri, Nov 6: 28°F (Fri, Nov 6, 6:00 PM CST to Sat, Nov 7, 6:00 AM CST).
Tonight: forecast low 39°F. Above 36°F.
NWS forecast period: Thu, Nov 5, 6:00 PM CST to Fri, Nov 6, 6:00 AM CST.
3 of the next 7 nights are forecast at 36°F or colder, cold enough for frost on exposed plants.
- Tonight 39°F Above 36°F · Chance Drizzle
- Fri, Nov 6 28°F Hard freeze · Mostly Clear
- Sat, Nov 7 30°F Freeze · Mostly Clear
- Sun, Nov 8 33°F Frost possible · Clear
- Mon, Nov 9 39°F Above 36°F · Clear
- Tue, Nov 10 37°F Above 36°F · Mostly Clear
- Wed, Nov 11 38°F Above 36°F · Mostly Clear
Overnight lows from the National Weather Service forecast for this location. This covers the available forecast window, not the first freeze of the whole season. Frost can form above 32°F on clear, calm nights.
Frost and freeze probabilities
Freeze dates shift from year to year. Spring percentages describe the chance of a freeze after the stated date; fall percentages describe the chance of a freeze by that date. The 10% spring date is the cautious one: a later freeze happens about 1 year in 10.
These dates describe historical probabilities, not this year’s forecast or the earliest and latest possible freezes. Different weather stations or probability thresholds can produce different published dates for the same city.
Average first hard freeze in Monticello
The median first fall hard-freeze date (28°F) is October 23, from NOAA’s 1991–2020 Climate Normals at Champaign 9 SW. This is the 50% probability date, not a forecast for this year.
| Temperature | Last spring date 90% · 50% · 10% chance of a later freeze | First fall date 10% · 50% · 90% chance of an earlier freeze | Season |
|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F frost possible | Apr 20 · May 4 · May 22 | Sep 20 · Oct 3 · Oct 16 | 151 days |
| 32°F freeze | Apr 9 · Apr 23 · May 9 | Sep 28 · Oct 13 · Oct 25 | 170 days |
| 28°F hard freeze | Mar 29 · Apr 11 · Apr 28 | Oct 8 · Oct 23 · Nov 4 | 193 days |
Average high temperature by month
1991–2020 normals at Champaign 9 SW
Average low temperature by month
Months with lows near or below freezing carry frost risk
Where these frost dates come from
The frost dates for Monticello, IL come from the nearest weather station with freeze statistics in NOAA’s 1991–2020 Climate Normals: Champaign 9 SW (station USW00054808, elevation 700 ft), 11 mi from Monticello. Local conditions (valleys, hilltops, distance to water, city heat) can shift frost dates by days or weeks. The hardiness zone is from the 2023 USDA Plant Hardiness Zone Map (USDA ARS and Oregon State University PRISM). See our methodology.
Frost dates near Monticello
| City | Distance | Last spring frost | First fall frost |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mahomet, IL | 14 mi | Apr 23 | Oct 13 |
| Champaign, IL | 17 mi | Apr 15 | Oct 24 |
| Savoy, IL | 17 mi | Apr 19 | Oct 17 |
| Urbana, IL | 21 mi | Apr 15 | Oct 24 |
| Clinton, IL | 22 mi | Apr 20 | Oct 16 |
| Decatur, IL | 22 mi | Apr 14 | Oct 24 |
| Mount Zion, IL | 24 mi | Apr 16 | Oct 22 |
| Rantoul, IL | 29 mi | Apr 21 | Oct 18 |
| Bloomington, IL | 37 mi | Apr 25 | Oct 16 |
| Mattoon, IL | 40 mi | Apr 11 | Oct 29 |
Frequently asked questions
When is the last frost in Monticello?
On average, the last spring frost (32°F) in Monticello is around April 23. In about 1 year in 10 it comes after May 9, and in 9 years in 10 it comes after April 9.
When is the first frost in Monticello?
The first fall frost (32°F) usually arrives around October 13. There’s a 10% chance of a freeze by September 28 and a 90% chance by October 25.
Can it frost in Monticello after the last frost date?
Yes. Frost can form on clear, calm nights even when the air stays above 32°F. Temperatures of 36°F or lower, cold enough for frost on exposed plants, have a 50% chance of occurring after May 4.
What growing zone is Monticello?
Monticello is in USDA Plant Hardiness Zone 6a (average annual extreme minimum temperature −10 to −5°F), based on the 2023 USDA map for ZIP code 61856. See growing zones in Illinois.
More: all Illinois frost dates · Illinois growing zones · frost vs. freeze