Frost dates 2026–2027

Frost dates for Winter Garden, Florida

Median (50% chance) dates of the last and first 32°F frost, from NOAA 1991–2020 climate normals at Orlando W, 3.8 mi away (close match).

Last spring frostJan 28
First fall frostJan 9
343 frost-free days
Last spring frostJan 281 year in 10 after Feb 26
First fall frostJan 91 year in 10 by Dec 18
Growing season343 daysbetween median 32°F dates
Hardiness zoneZone 9b25 to 30°F average extreme low

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Will it freeze in Winter Garden in the next 7 nights?

No overnight lows at or below 32°F are forecast in Winter Garden during the next 7 nights in the available NWS frost forecast.

Tonight: forecast low 70°F. Above 36°F.

NWS forecast period: Thu, Nov 5, 6:00 PM EST to Fri, Nov 6, 6:00 AM EST.

No nights at or below 36°F in the National Weather Service forecast for the next 7 nights.

Overnight lows from the National Weather Service forecast for this location. This covers the available forecast window, not the first freeze of the whole season. Frost can form above 32°F on clear, calm nights.

Frost and freeze probabilities

Freeze dates shift from year to year. Spring percentages describe the chance of a freeze after the stated date; fall percentages describe the chance of a freeze by that date. The 10% spring date is the cautious one: a later freeze happens about 1 year in 10.

These dates describe historical probabilities, not this year’s forecast or the earliest and latest possible freezes. Different weather stations or probability thresholds can produce different published dates for the same city.

Average first hard freeze in Winter Garden

Most years have no 28°F hard freeze at Orlando W, according to NOAA’s 1991–2020 Climate Normals. Check the short-term forecast above during cold snaps.

TemperatureLast spring date
90% · 50% · 10% chance of a later freeze
First fall date
10% · 50% · 90% chance of an earlier freeze
Season
36°F frost possible Jan 10 · Feb 8 · Mar 12 Dec 1 · Dec 27 · Jan 24 313 days
32°F freeze Jan 1 · Jan 28 · Feb 26 Dec 18 · Jan 9 · Feb 6 343 days
28°F hard freeze Dec 31 · Jan 20 · Feb 13 Dec 25 · Jan 13 · Feb 10 365 days
NOAA NCEI U.S. Climate Normals 1991–2020, station USC00086634. How to read these probabilities.

Average high temperature by month

1991–2020 normals at Orlando W

Average low temperature by month

Months with lows near or below freezing carry frost risk

Where these frost dates come from

The frost dates for Winter Garden, FL come from the nearest weather station with freeze statistics in NOAA’s 1991–2020 Climate Normals: Orlando W (station USC00086634, elevation 150 ft), 3.8 mi from Winter Garden. Local conditions (valleys, hilltops, distance to water, city heat) can shift frost dates by days or weeks. The hardiness zone is from the 2023 USDA Plant Hardiness Zone Map (USDA ARS and Oregon State University PRISM). See our methodology.

Frost dates near Winter Garden

CityDistanceLast spring frostFirst fall frost
Ocoee, FL 5.0 mi Jan 28 Jan 9
Clermont, FL 8.1 mi Jan 29 Jan 11
Minneola, FL 9.3 mi Jan 29 Jan 11
Apopka, FL 12 mi Feb 24 Dec 29
Groveland, FL 14 mi Jan 26 Jan 9
Altamonte Springs, FL 15 mi rare rare
Maitland, FL 15 mi rare rare
Winter Park, FL 16 mi rare rare
Belle Isle, FL 16 mi Jan 25 Jan 10
Orlando, FL 17 mi Jan 25 Jan 10

Frequently asked questions

When is the last frost in Winter Garden?

On average, the last spring frost (32°F) in Winter Garden is around January 28. In about 1 year in 10 it comes after February 26, and in 9 years in 10 it comes after January 1.

When is the first frost in Winter Garden?

The first fall frost (32°F) usually arrives around January 9. There’s a 10% chance of a freeze by December 18 and a 90% chance by February 6.

Can it frost in Winter Garden after the last frost date?

Yes. Frost can form on clear, calm nights even when the air stays above 32°F. Temperatures of 36°F or lower, cold enough for frost on exposed plants, have a 50% chance of occurring after February 8.

What growing zone is Winter Garden?

Winter Garden is in USDA Plant Hardiness Zone 9b (average annual extreme minimum temperature 25 to 30°F), based on the 2023 USDA map for ZIP code 34760. See growing zones in Florida.

More: all Florida frost dates · Florida growing zones · UV index today in Winter Garden · frost vs. freeze