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Will it freeze in Melbourne in the next 7 nights?
No overnight lows at or below 32°F are forecast in Melbourne during the next 7 nights in the available NWS frost forecast.
Tonight: forecast low 69°F. Above 36°F.
NWS forecast period: Thu, Nov 5, 6:00 PM EST to Fri, Nov 6, 6:00 AM EST.
No nights at or below 36°F in the National Weather Service forecast for the next 7 nights.
- Tonight 69°F Above 36°F · Mostly Clear
- Fri, Nov 6 69°F Above 36°F · Partly Cloudy
- Sat, Nov 7 67°F Above 36°F · Mostly Clear
- Sun, Nov 8 67°F Above 36°F · Partly Cloudy
- Mon, Nov 9 66°F Above 36°F · Partly Cloudy then Slight Chance Rain Showers
- Tue, Nov 10 65°F Above 36°F · Slight Chance Rain Showers
- Wed, Nov 11 64°F Above 36°F · Chance Rain Showers
Overnight lows from the National Weather Service forecast for this location. This covers the available forecast window, not the first freeze of the whole season. Frost can form above 32°F on clear, calm nights.
Frost and freeze probabilities
Freeze dates shift from year to year. Spring percentages describe the chance of a freeze after the stated date; fall percentages describe the chance of a freeze by that date. The 10% spring date is the cautious one: a later freeze happens about 1 year in 10.
These dates describe historical probabilities, not this year’s forecast or the earliest and latest possible freezes. Different weather stations or probability thresholds can produce different published dates for the same city.
Average first hard freeze in Melbourne
Most years have no 28°F hard freeze at Melbourne WFO, according to NOAA’s 1991–2020 Climate Normals. Check the short-term forecast above during cold snaps.
| Temperature | Last spring date 90% · 50% · 10% chance of a later freeze | First fall date 10% · 50% · 90% chance of an earlier freeze | Season |
|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F frost possible | Jan 7 · Feb 6 · Mar 9 | Dec 6 · Jan 2 · Feb 3 | 324 days |
| 32°F freeze | Dec 29 · Jan 24 · Feb 24 | Dec 20 · Jan 9 · Feb 13 | 359 days |
| 28°F hard freeze | Dec 29 · Jan 15 · Feb 8 | Dec 24 · Jan 10 · Feb 5 | 365 days |
Average high temperature by month
1991–2020 normals at Melbourne WFO
Average low temperature by month
Months with lows near or below freezing carry frost risk
Where these frost dates come from
The frost dates for Melbourne, FL come from the nearest weather station with freeze statistics in NOAA’s 1991–2020 Climate Normals: Melbourne WFO (station USC00085612, elevation 35 ft), 0.6 mi from Melbourne. Local conditions (valleys, hilltops, distance to water, city heat) can shift frost dates by days or weeks. The hardiness zone is from the 2023 USDA Plant Hardiness Zone Map (USDA ARS and Oregon State University PRISM). See our methodology.
Frost dates near Melbourne
| City | Distance | Last spring frost | First fall frost |
|---|---|---|---|
| West Melbourne, FL | 4.3 mi | rare | rare |
| Indian Harbour Beach, FL | 5.0 mi | Jan 24 | Jan 9 |
| Satellite Beach, FL | 6.2 mi | Jan 24 | Jan 9 |
| Palm Bay, FL | 11 mi | Jan 30 | Jan 11 |
| Grant-Valkaria, FL | 14 mi | Jan 30 | Jan 11 |
| Cocoa Beach, FL | 16 mi | Jan 24 | Jan 9 |
| Rockledge, FL | 16 mi | Jan 24 | Jan 9 |
| Cocoa, FL | 19 mi | Jan 29 | Jan 16 |
| Cape Canaveral, FL | 20 mi | Jan 29 | Jan 16 |
| Sebastian, FL | 25 mi | rare | rare |
Frequently asked questions
When is the last frost in Melbourne?
On average, the last spring frost (32°F) in Melbourne is around January 24. In about 1 year in 10 it comes after February 24, and in 9 years in 10 it comes after December 29.
When is the first frost in Melbourne?
The first fall frost (32°F) usually arrives around January 9. There’s a 10% chance of a freeze by December 20 and a 90% chance by February 13.
Can it frost in Melbourne after the last frost date?
Yes. Frost can form on clear, calm nights even when the air stays above 32°F. Temperatures of 36°F or lower, cold enough for frost on exposed plants, have a 50% chance of occurring after February 6.
What growing zone is Melbourne?
Melbourne is in USDA Plant Hardiness Zone 10a (average annual extreme minimum temperature 30 to 35°F), based on the 2023 USDA map for ZIP code 32935. See growing zones in Florida.
More: all Florida frost dates · Florida growing zones · UV index today in Melbourne · frost vs. freeze