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Will it freeze in Lincoln in the next 7 nights?
No overnight lows at or below 32°F are forecast in Lincoln during the next 7 nights in the available NWS frost forecast.
Tonight: forecast low 44°F. Above 36°F.
NWS forecast period: Thu, Nov 5, 6:00 PM PST to Fri, Nov 6, 6:00 AM PST.
No nights at or below 36°F in the National Weather Service forecast for the next 7 nights.
- Tonight 44°F Above 36°F · Mostly Clear
- Fri, Nov 6 46°F Above 36°F · Mostly Clear
- Sat, Nov 7 46°F Above 36°F · Mostly Clear
- Sun, Nov 8 47°F Above 36°F · Partly Cloudy
- Mon, Nov 9 47°F Above 36°F · Mostly Clear
- Tue, Nov 10 48°F Above 36°F · Mostly Clear then Slight Chance Light Rain
- Wed, Nov 11 48°F Above 36°F · Slight Chance Light Rain
Overnight lows from the National Weather Service forecast for this location. This covers the available forecast window, not the first freeze of the whole season. Frost can form above 32°F on clear, calm nights.
Frost and freeze probabilities
Freeze dates shift from year to year. Spring percentages describe the chance of a freeze after the stated date; fall percentages describe the chance of a freeze by that date. The 10% spring date is the cautious one: a later freeze happens about 1 year in 10.
These dates describe historical probabilities, not this year’s forecast or the earliest and latest possible freezes. Different weather stations or probability thresholds can produce different published dates for the same city.
Average first hard freeze in Lincoln
The median first fall hard-freeze date (28°F) is December 22, from NOAA’s 1991–2020 Climate Normals at Auburn. This is the 50% probability date, not a forecast for this year.
| Temperature | Last spring date 90% · 50% · 10% chance of a later freeze | First fall date 10% · 50% · 90% chance of an earlier freeze | Season |
|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F frost possible | Mar 2 · Apr 5 · Apr 30 | Oct 30 · Nov 19 · Dec 7 | 227 days |
| 32°F freeze | Jan 15 · Feb 25 · Apr 7 | Nov 15 · Dec 5 · Dec 31 | 286 days |
| 28°F hard freeze | Dec 19 · Jan 13 · Feb 25 | Dec 1 · Dec 22 · Jan 22 | 344 days |
Average high temperature by month
1991–2020 normals at Auburn
Average low temperature by month
Months with lows near or below freezing carry frost risk
Where these frost dates come from
The frost dates for Lincoln, CA come from the nearest weather station with freeze statistics in NOAA’s 1991–2020 Climate Normals: Auburn (station USC00040383, elevation 1,292 ft), 11 mi from Lincoln. Local conditions (valleys, hilltops, distance to water, city heat) can shift frost dates by days or weeks. The hardiness zone is from the 2023 USDA Plant Hardiness Zone Map (USDA ARS and Oregon State University PRISM). See our methodology.
Frost dates near Lincoln
| City | Distance | Last spring frost | First fall frost |
|---|---|---|---|
| Rocklin, CA | 5.0 mi | Feb 25 | Dec 5 |
| Loomis, CA | 6.8 mi | Feb 25 | Dec 5 |
| Roseville, CA | 7.5 mi | Feb 22 | Nov 24 |
| Auburn, CA | 12 mi | Feb 25 | Dec 5 |
| Citrus Heights, CA | 12 mi | Jan 12 | Dec 16 |
| Folsom, CA | 17 mi | Jan 12 | Dec 16 |
| Rancho Cordova, CA | 21 mi | Jan 12 | Dec 16 |
| Sacramento, CA | 23 mi | Jan 12 | Dec 16 |
| Marysville, CA | 25 mi | Jan 15 | Dec 12 |
| Yuba City, CA | 25 mi | Jan 15 | Dec 12 |
Frequently asked questions
When is the last frost in Lincoln?
On average, the last spring frost (32°F) in Lincoln is around February 25. In about 1 year in 10 it comes after April 7, and in 9 years in 10 it comes after January 15.
When is the first frost in Lincoln?
The first fall frost (32°F) usually arrives around December 5. There’s a 10% chance of a freeze by November 15 and a 90% chance by December 31.
Can it frost in Lincoln after the last frost date?
Yes. Frost can form on clear, calm nights even when the air stays above 32°F. Temperatures of 36°F or lower, cold enough for frost on exposed plants, have a 50% chance of occurring after April 5.
What growing zone is Lincoln?
Lincoln is in USDA Plant Hardiness Zone 9a (average annual extreme minimum temperature 20 to 25°F), based on the 2023 USDA map for ZIP code 95648. See growing zones in California.
More: all California frost dates · California growing zones · UV index today in Lincoln · frost vs. freeze