Checking current alerts… View NWS forecast and alerts.
Will it freeze in Goleta in the next 7 nights?
No overnight lows at or below 32°F are forecast in Goleta during the next 7 nights in the available NWS frost forecast.
Tonight: forecast low 54°F. Above 36°F.
NWS forecast period: Thu, Nov 5, 6:00 PM PST to Fri, Nov 6, 6:00 AM PST.
No nights at or below 36°F in the National Weather Service forecast for the next 7 nights.
- Tonight 54°F Above 36°F · Mostly Clear
- Fri, Nov 6 57°F Above 36°F · Mostly Clear
- Sat, Nov 7 58°F Above 36°F · Mostly Clear
- Sun, Nov 8 60°F Above 36°F · Mostly Clear
- Mon, Nov 9 59°F Above 36°F · Partly Cloudy
- Tue, Nov 10 59°F Above 36°F · Mostly Clear
- Wed, Nov 11 58°F Above 36°F · Slight Chance Light Rain
Overnight lows from the National Weather Service forecast for this location. This covers the available forecast window, not the first freeze of the whole season. Frost can form above 32°F on clear, calm nights.
Frost and freeze probabilities
Freeze dates shift from year to year. Spring percentages describe the chance of a freeze after the stated date; fall percentages describe the chance of a freeze by that date. The 10% spring date is the cautious one: a later freeze happens about 1 year in 10.
These dates describe historical probabilities, not this year’s forecast or the earliest and latest possible freezes. Different weather stations or probability thresholds can produce different published dates for the same city.
Average first hard freeze in Goleta
Most years have no 28°F hard freeze at Santa Barbara Municipal Airport, according to NOAA’s 1991–2020 Climate Normals. Check the short-term forecast above during cold snaps.
| Temperature | Last spring date 90% · 50% · 10% chance of a later freeze | First fall date 10% · 50% · 90% chance of an earlier freeze | Season |
|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F frost possible | Jan 9 · Feb 13 · Mar 17 | Nov 11 · Dec 1 · Dec 20 | 290 days |
| 32°F freeze | Dec 14 · Jan 11 · Feb 13 | Dec 1 · Dec 16 · Jan 18 | 342 days |
| 28°F hard freeze | Dec 8 · Dec 30 · Jan 18 | Dec 7 · Dec 26 · Jan 12 | 365 days |
Average high temperature by month
1991–2020 normals at Santa Barbara Municipal Airport
Average low temperature by month
Months with lows near or below freezing carry frost risk
Where these frost dates come from
The frost dates for Goleta, CA come from the nearest weather station with freeze statistics in NOAA’s 1991–2020 Climate Normals: Santa Barbara Municipal Airport (station USW00023190, elevation 9 ft), 1.2 mi from Goleta. Local conditions (valleys, hilltops, distance to water, city heat) can shift frost dates by days or weeks. The hardiness zone is from the 2023 USDA Plant Hardiness Zone Map (USDA ARS and Oregon State University PRISM). See our methodology.
Frost dates near Goleta
| City | Distance | Last spring frost | First fall frost |
|---|---|---|---|
| Santa Barbara, CA | 8.7 mi | rare | rare |
| Solvang, CA | 19 mi | Apr 11 | Nov 8 |
| Carpinteria, CA | 21 mi | rare | rare |
| Buellton, CA | 23 mi | Apr 11 | Nov 8 |
| Ojai, CA | 35 mi | Mar 21 | Nov 15 |
| Ventura, CA | 37 mi | rare | rare |
| Lompoc, CA | 38 mi | Jan 20 | Dec 19 |
| Oxnard, CA | 40 mi | rare | rare |
| Port Hueneme, CA | 42 mi | rare | rare |
| Santa Paula, CA | 45 mi | rare | rare |
Frequently asked questions
When is the last frost in Goleta?
On average, the last spring frost (32°F) in Goleta is around January 11. In about 1 year in 10 it comes after February 13, and in 9 years in 10 it comes after December 14.
When is the first frost in Goleta?
The first fall frost (32°F) usually arrives around December 16. There’s a 10% chance of a freeze by December 1 and a 90% chance by January 18.
Can it frost in Goleta after the last frost date?
Yes. Frost can form on clear, calm nights even when the air stays above 32°F. Temperatures of 36°F or lower, cold enough for frost on exposed plants, have a 50% chance of occurring after February 13.
What growing zone is Goleta?
Goleta is in USDA Plant Hardiness Zone 10a (average annual extreme minimum temperature 30 to 35°F), based on the 2023 USDA map for ZIP code 93106. See growing zones in California.
More: all California frost dates · California growing zones · UV index today in Goleta · frost vs. freeze