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Will it freeze in Elk Grove in the next 7 nights?
No overnight lows at or below 32°F are forecast in Elk Grove during the next 7 nights in the available NWS frost forecast.
Tonight: forecast low 44°F. Above 36°F.
NWS forecast period: Thu, Nov 5, 6:00 PM PST to Fri, Nov 6, 6:00 AM PST.
No nights at or below 36°F in the National Weather Service forecast for the next 7 nights.
- Tonight 44°F Above 36°F · Mostly Clear
- Fri, Nov 6 44°F Above 36°F · Mostly Clear
- Sat, Nov 7 47°F Above 36°F · Mostly Clear
- Sun, Nov 8 47°F Above 36°F · Partly Cloudy
- Mon, Nov 9 46°F Above 36°F · Mostly Clear
- Tue, Nov 10 47°F Above 36°F · Mostly Clear then Slight Chance Light Rain
- Wed, Nov 11 48°F Above 36°F · Slight Chance Light Rain
Overnight lows from the National Weather Service forecast for this location. This covers the available forecast window, not the first freeze of the whole season. Frost can form above 32°F on clear, calm nights.
Frost and freeze probabilities
Freeze dates shift from year to year. Spring percentages describe the chance of a freeze after the stated date; fall percentages describe the chance of a freeze by that date. The 10% spring date is the cautious one: a later freeze happens about 1 year in 10.
These dates describe historical probabilities, not this year’s forecast or the earliest and latest possible freezes. Different weather stations or probability thresholds can produce different published dates for the same city.
Average first hard freeze in Elk Grove
The median first fall hard-freeze date (28°F) is December 16, from NOAA’s 1991–2020 Climate Normals at Sacramento Executive Airport. This is the 50% probability date, not a forecast for this year.
| Temperature | Last spring date 90% · 50% · 10% chance of a later freeze | First fall date 10% · 50% · 90% chance of an earlier freeze | Season |
|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F frost possible | Feb 13 · Mar 14 · Apr 10 | Nov 4 · Nov 18 · Dec 3 | 247 days |
| 32°F freeze | Jan 2 · Feb 2 · Mar 5 | Nov 16 · Dec 2 · Jan 2 | 301 days |
| 28°F hard freeze | Dec 12 · Jan 4 · Feb 1 | Nov 30 · Dec 16 · Jan 14 | 345 days |
Average high temperature by month
1991–2020 normals at Sacramento Executive Airport
Average low temperature by month
Months with lows near or below freezing carry frost risk
Where these frost dates come from
The frost dates for Elk Grove, CA come from the nearest weather station with freeze statistics in NOAA’s 1991–2020 Climate Normals: Sacramento Executive Airport (station USW00023232, elevation 15 ft), 8.7 mi from Elk Grove. Local conditions (valleys, hilltops, distance to water, city heat) can shift frost dates by days or weeks. The hardiness zone is from the 2023 USDA Plant Hardiness Zone Map (USDA ARS and Oregon State University PRISM). See our methodology.
Frost dates near Elk Grove
| City | Distance | Last spring frost | First fall frost |
|---|---|---|---|
| Galt, CA | 11 mi | Feb 9 | Dec 5 |
| Sacramento, CA | 11 mi | Jan 12 | Dec 16 |
| West Sacramento, CA | 13 mi | Feb 2 | Dec 2 |
| Rancho Cordova, CA | 14 mi | Jan 12 | Dec 16 |
| Citrus Heights, CA | 20 mi | Jan 12 | Dec 16 |
| Lodi, CA | 21 mi | Feb 9 | Dec 5 |
| Davis, CA | 22 mi | Feb 10 | Dec 1 |
| Folsom, CA | 22 mi | Jan 12 | Dec 16 |
| Rio Vista, CA | 24 mi | Jan 12 | Dec 19 |
| Dixon, CA | 24 mi | Feb 10 | Dec 1 |
Frequently asked questions
When is the last frost in Elk Grove?
On average, the last spring frost (32°F) in Elk Grove is around February 2. In about 1 year in 10 it comes after March 5, and in 9 years in 10 it comes after January 2.
When is the first frost in Elk Grove?
The first fall frost (32°F) usually arrives around December 2. There’s a 10% chance of a freeze by November 16 and a 90% chance by January 2.
Can it frost in Elk Grove after the last frost date?
Yes. Frost can form on clear, calm nights even when the air stays above 32°F. Temperatures of 36°F or lower, cold enough for frost on exposed plants, have a 50% chance of occurring after March 14.
What growing zone is Elk Grove?
Elk Grove is in USDA Plant Hardiness Zone 9b (average annual extreme minimum temperature 25 to 30°F), based on the 2023 USDA map for ZIP code 95758. See growing zones in California.
More: all California frost dates · California growing zones · UV index today in Elk Grove · frost vs. freeze