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Will it freeze in Snowflake in the next 7 nights?
No overnight lows at or below 32°F are forecast in Snowflake during the next 7 nights in the available NWS frost forecast.
Tonight: forecast low 36°F. Frost possible.
NWS forecast period: Thu, Nov 5, 6:00 PM MST to Fri, Nov 6, 6:00 AM MST.
7 of the next 7 nights are forecast at 36°F or colder, cold enough for frost on exposed plants.
- Tonight 36°F Frost possible · Partly Cloudy
- Fri, Nov 6 36°F Frost possible · Slight Chance Rain Showers then Partly Cloudy
- Sat, Nov 7 35°F Frost possible · Clear
- Sun, Nov 8 33°F Frost possible · Mostly Clear
- Mon, Nov 9 35°F Frost possible · Mostly Clear
- Tue, Nov 10 36°F Frost possible · Mostly Clear
- Wed, Nov 11 35°F Frost possible · Mostly Clear
Overnight lows from the National Weather Service forecast for this location. This covers the available forecast window, not the first freeze of the whole season. Frost can form above 32°F on clear, calm nights.
Frost and freeze probabilities
Freeze dates shift from year to year. Spring percentages describe the chance of a freeze after the stated date; fall percentages describe the chance of a freeze by that date. The 10% spring date is the cautious one: a later freeze happens about 1 year in 10.
These dates describe historical probabilities, not this year’s forecast or the earliest and latest possible freezes. Different weather stations or probability thresholds can produce different published dates for the same city.
Average first hard freeze in Snowflake
The median first fall hard-freeze date (28°F) is October 20, from NOAA’s 1991–2020 Climate Normals at Snowflake. This is the 50% probability date, not a forecast for this year.
| Temperature | Last spring date 90% · 50% · 10% chance of a later freeze | First fall date 10% · 50% · 90% chance of an earlier freeze | Season |
|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F frost possible | May 10 · May 26 · Jun 12 | Sep 20 · Oct 2 · Oct 13 | 127 days |
| 32°F freeze | Apr 27 · May 11 · May 31 | Sep 28 · Oct 10 · Oct 22 | 149 days |
| 28°F hard freeze | Apr 12 · Apr 29 · May 15 | Oct 6 · Oct 20 · Nov 2 | 172 days |
Average high temperature by month
1991–2020 normals at Snowflake
Average low temperature by month
Months with lows near or below freezing carry frost risk
Where these frost dates come from
The frost dates for Snowflake, AZ come from the nearest weather station with freeze statistics in NOAA’s 1991–2020 Climate Normals: Snowflake (station USC00028012, elevation 5,642 ft), 1.0 mi from Snowflake. Local conditions (valleys, hilltops, distance to water, city heat) can shift frost dates by days or weeks. The hardiness zone is from the 2023 USDA Plant Hardiness Zone Map (USDA ARS and Oregon State University PRISM). See our methodology.
Frost dates near Snowflake
| City | Distance | Last spring frost | First fall frost |
|---|---|---|---|
| Show Low, AZ | 18 mi | May 5 | Oct 15 |
| Winslow, AZ | 49 mi | Apr 27 | Oct 18 |
| Payson, AZ | 73 mi | Apr 29 | Oct 24 |
| Globe, AZ | 86 mi | Mar 11 | Nov 21 |
| Flagstaff, AZ | 98 mi | Jun 4 | Sep 28 |
| Sedona, AZ | 99 mi | Apr 1 | Nov 17 |
| Camp Verde, AZ | 101 mi | Apr 16 | Oct 30 |
| Gallup, NM | 103 mi | May 11 | Oct 7 |
| Cottonwood, AZ | 109 mi | Mar 30 | Nov 10 |
| Fountain Hills, AZ | 114 mi | Jan 6 | Dec 28 |
Frequently asked questions
When is the last frost in Snowflake?
On average, the last spring frost (32°F) in Snowflake is around May 11. In about 1 year in 10 it comes after May 31, and in 9 years in 10 it comes after April 27.
When is the first frost in Snowflake?
The first fall frost (32°F) usually arrives around October 10. There’s a 10% chance of a freeze by September 28 and a 90% chance by October 22.
Can it frost in Snowflake after the last frost date?
Yes. Frost can form on clear, calm nights even when the air stays above 32°F. Temperatures of 36°F or lower, cold enough for frost on exposed plants, have a 50% chance of occurring after May 26.
What growing zone is Snowflake?
Snowflake is in USDA Plant Hardiness Zone 7a (average annual extreme minimum temperature 0 to 5°F), based on the 2023 USDA map for ZIP code 85937. See growing zones in Arizona.
More: all Arizona frost dates · Arizona growing zones · frost vs. freeze