Checking current alerts… View NWS forecast and alerts.
Will it freeze in Poquoson in the next 7 nights?
No overnight lows at or below 32°F are forecast in Poquoson during the next 7 nights in the available NWS frost forecast.
Tonight: forecast low 66°F. Above 36°F.
NWS forecast period: Thu, Nov 5, 6:00 PM EST to Fri, Nov 6, 6:00 AM EST.
No nights at or below 36°F in the National Weather Service forecast for the next 7 nights.
- Tonight 66°F Above 36°F · Mostly Cloudy then Slight Chance Showers And Thunderstorms
- Fri, Nov 6 56°F Above 36°F · Showers And Thunderstorms
- Sat, Nov 7 48°F Above 36°F · Mostly Clear
- Sun, Nov 8 49°F Above 36°F · Mostly Clear
- Mon, Nov 9 50°F Above 36°F · Mostly Clear
- Tue, Nov 10 52°F Above 36°F · Partly Cloudy
- Wed, Nov 11 51°F Above 36°F · Partly Cloudy
Overnight lows from the National Weather Service forecast for this location. This covers the available forecast window, not the first freeze of the whole season. Frost can form above 32°F on clear, calm nights.
Frost and freeze probabilities
Freeze dates shift from year to year. Spring percentages describe the chance of a freeze after the stated date; fall percentages describe the chance of a freeze by that date. The 10% spring date is the cautious one: a later freeze happens about 1 year in 10.
These dates describe historical probabilities, not this year’s forecast or the earliest and latest possible freezes. Different weather stations or probability thresholds can produce different published dates for the same city.
Average first hard freeze in Poquoson
The median first fall hard-freeze date (28°F) is November 28, from NOAA’s 1991–2020 Climate Normals at Langley AFB. This is the 50% probability date, not a forecast for this year.
| Temperature | Last spring date 90% · 50% · 10% chance of a later freeze | First fall date 10% · 50% · 90% chance of an earlier freeze | Season |
|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F frost possible | Mar 22 · Apr 4 · Apr 18 | Oct 25 · Nov 5 · Nov 18 | 216 days |
| 32°F freeze | Mar 9 · Mar 24 · Apr 6 | Nov 3 · Nov 15 · Dec 2 | 238 days |
| 28°F hard freeze | Feb 22 · Mar 10 · Mar 28 | Nov 10 · Nov 28 · Dec 20 | 266 days |
Average high temperature by month
1991–2020 normals at Langley AFB
Average low temperature by month
Months with lows near or below freezing carry frost risk
Where these frost dates come from
The frost dates for Poquoson, VA come from the nearest weather station with freeze statistics in NOAA’s 1991–2020 Climate Normals: Langley AFB (station USW00013702, elevation 10 ft), 4.0 mi from Poquoson. Local conditions (valleys, hilltops, distance to water, city heat) can shift frost dates by days or weeks. The hardiness zone is from the 2023 USDA Plant Hardiness Zone Map (USDA ARS and Oregon State University PRISM). See our methodology.
Frost dates near Poquoson
| City | Distance | Last spring frost | First fall frost |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hampton, VA | 5.6 mi | Mar 24 | Nov 15 |
| Newport News, VA | 12 mi | Apr 1 | Nov 9 |
| Norfolk, VA | 14 mi | Mar 16 | Nov 26 |
| Portsmouth, VA | 19 mi | Mar 23 | Nov 16 |
| Smithfield, VA | 21 mi | Apr 1 | Nov 9 |
| Williamsburg, VA | 24 mi | Mar 31 | Nov 10 |
| Virginia Beach, VA | 29 mi | Mar 29 | Nov 12 |
| Chesapeake, VA | 31 mi | Mar 23 | Nov 18 |
| Suffolk, VA | 35 mi | Mar 27 | Nov 15 |
| Franklin, VA | 47 mi | Apr 7 | Nov 2 |
Frequently asked questions
When is the last frost in Poquoson?
On average, the last spring frost (32°F) in Poquoson is around March 24. In about 1 year in 10 it comes after April 6, and in 9 years in 10 it comes after March 9.
When is the first frost in Poquoson?
The first fall frost (32°F) usually arrives around November 15. There’s a 10% chance of a freeze by November 3 and a 90% chance by December 2.
Can it frost in Poquoson after the last frost date?
Yes. Frost can form on clear, calm nights even when the air stays above 32°F. Temperatures of 36°F or lower, cold enough for frost on exposed plants, have a 50% chance of occurring after April 4.
What growing zone is Poquoson?
Poquoson is in USDA Plant Hardiness Zone 8b (average annual extreme minimum temperature 15 to 20°F), based on the 2023 USDA map for ZIP code 23662. See growing zones in Virginia.
More: all Virginia frost dates · Virginia growing zones · frost vs. freeze