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Will it freeze in Warwick in the next 7 nights?
No overnight lows at or below 32°F are forecast in Warwick during the next 7 nights in the available NWS frost forecast.
Tonight: forecast low 62°F. Above 36°F.
NWS forecast period: Thu, Nov 5, 6:00 PM EST to Fri, Nov 6, 6:00 AM EST.
1 of the next 7 nights are forecast at 36°F or colder, cold enough for frost on exposed plants.
- Tonight 62°F Above 36°F · Light Rain Likely
- Fri, Nov 6 57°F Above 36°F · Rain
- Sat, Nov 7 45°F Above 36°F · Chance Light Rain
- Sun, Nov 8 39°F Above 36°F · Mostly Clear
- Mon, Nov 9 37°F Above 36°F · Mostly Clear
- Tue, Nov 10 39°F Above 36°F · Mostly Clear
- Wed, Nov 11 33°F Frost possible · Mostly Clear
Overnight lows from the National Weather Service forecast for this location. This covers the available forecast window, not the first freeze of the whole season. Frost can form above 32°F on clear, calm nights.
Frost and freeze probabilities
Freeze dates shift from year to year. Spring percentages describe the chance of a freeze after the stated date; fall percentages describe the chance of a freeze by that date. The 10% spring date is the cautious one: a later freeze happens about 1 year in 10.
These dates describe historical probabilities, not this year’s forecast or the earliest and latest possible freezes. Different weather stations or probability thresholds can produce different published dates for the same city.
Average first hard freeze in Warwick
The median first fall hard-freeze date (28°F) is November 9, from NOAA’s 1991–2020 Climate Normals at Providence T F Green Airport. This is the 50% probability date, not a forecast for this year.
| Temperature | Last spring date 90% · 50% · 10% chance of a later freeze | First fall date 10% · 50% · 90% chance of an earlier freeze | Season |
|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F frost possible | Apr 14 · Apr 26 · May 7 | Oct 5 · Oct 18 · Nov 1 | 175 days |
| 32°F freeze | Apr 1 · Apr 11 · Apr 23 | Oct 16 · Oct 30 · Nov 12 | 199 days |
| 28°F hard freeze | Mar 18 · Apr 1 · Apr 11 | Oct 29 · Nov 9 · Nov 26 | 221 days |
Average high temperature by month
1991–2020 normals at Providence T F Green Airport
Average low temperature by month
Months with lows near or below freezing carry frost risk
Where these frost dates come from
The frost dates for Warwick, RI come from the nearest weather station with freeze statistics in NOAA’s 1991–2020 Climate Normals: Providence T F Green Airport (station USW00014765, elevation 60 ft), 1.4 mi from Warwick. Local conditions (valleys, hilltops, distance to water, city heat) can shift frost dates by days or weeks. The hardiness zone is from the 2023 USDA Plant Hardiness Zone Map (USDA ARS and Oregon State University PRISM). See our methodology.
Frost dates near Warwick
| City | Distance | Last spring frost | First fall frost |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cranston, RI | 5.6 mi | Apr 11 | Oct 30 |
| East Providence, RI | 7.5 mi | Apr 11 | Oct 30 |
| Providence, RI | 8.1 mi | Apr 11 | Oct 30 |
| Pawtucket, RI | 12 mi | Apr 22 | Oct 19 |
| Central Falls, RI | 13 mi | Apr 22 | Oct 19 |
| Newport, RI | 17 mi | Apr 7 | Nov 13 |
| Fall River, MA | 17 mi | Apr 29 | Oct 15 |
| Attleboro, MA | 17 mi | Apr 27 | Oct 15 |
| North Attleborough, MA | 19 mi | Apr 22 | Oct 19 |
| Woonsocket, RI | 21 mi | Apr 22 | Oct 19 |
Frequently asked questions
When is the last frost in Warwick?
On average, the last spring frost (32°F) in Warwick is around April 11. In about 1 year in 10 it comes after April 23, and in 9 years in 10 it comes after April 1.
When is the first frost in Warwick?
The first fall frost (32°F) usually arrives around October 30. There’s a 10% chance of a freeze by October 16 and a 90% chance by November 12.
Can it frost in Warwick after the last frost date?
Yes. Frost can form on clear, calm nights even when the air stays above 32°F. Temperatures of 36°F or lower, cold enough for frost on exposed plants, have a 50% chance of occurring after April 26.
What growing zone is Warwick?
Warwick is in USDA Plant Hardiness Zone 7a (average annual extreme minimum temperature 0 to 5°F), based on the 2023 USDA map for ZIP code 02886. See growing zones in Rhode Island.
More: all Rhode Island frost dates · Rhode Island growing zones · UV index today in Warwick · frost vs. freeze