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Will it freeze in Ashland in the next 7 nights?
No overnight lows at or below 32°F are forecast in Ashland during the next 7 nights in the available NWS frost forecast.
Tonight: forecast low 37°F. Above 36°F.
NWS forecast period: Thu, Nov 5, 6:00 PM PST to Fri, Nov 6, 6:00 AM PST.
No nights at or below 36°F in the National Weather Service forecast for the next 7 nights.
- Tonight 37°F Above 36°F · Partly Cloudy
- Fri, Nov 6 41°F Above 36°F · Mostly Clear
- Sat, Nov 7 41°F Above 36°F · Partly Cloudy then Chance Light Rain
- Sun, Nov 8 39°F Above 36°F · Mostly Cloudy
- Mon, Nov 9 40°F Above 36°F · Partly Cloudy
- Tue, Nov 10 43°F Above 36°F · Mostly Cloudy then Slight Chance Light Rain
- Wed, Nov 11 40°F Above 36°F · Chance Light Rain
Overnight lows from the National Weather Service forecast for this location. This covers the available forecast window, not the first freeze of the whole season. Frost can form above 32°F on clear, calm nights.
Frost and freeze probabilities
Freeze dates shift from year to year. Spring percentages describe the chance of a freeze after the stated date; fall percentages describe the chance of a freeze by that date. The 10% spring date is the cautious one: a later freeze happens about 1 year in 10.
These dates describe historical probabilities, not this year’s forecast or the earliest and latest possible freezes. Different weather stations or probability thresholds can produce different published dates for the same city.
Average first hard freeze in Ashland
The median first fall hard-freeze date (28°F) is October 26, from NOAA’s 1991–2020 Climate Normals at Ashland. This is the 50% probability date, not a forecast for this year.
| Temperature | Last spring date 90% · 50% · 10% chance of a later freeze | First fall date 10% · 50% · 90% chance of an earlier freeze | Season |
|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F frost possible | May 12 · May 29 · Jun 17 | Sep 6 · Sep 23 · Oct 9 | 114 days |
| 32°F freeze | Apr 20 · May 6 · May 27 | Sep 21 · Oct 8 · Oct 26 | 154 days |
| 28°F hard freeze | Mar 27 · Apr 15 · May 4 | Oct 10 · Oct 26 · Nov 16 | 192 days |
Average high temperature by month
1991–2020 normals at Ashland
Average low temperature by month
Months with lows near or below freezing carry frost risk
Where these frost dates come from
The frost dates for Ashland, OR come from the nearest weather station with freeze statistics in NOAA’s 1991–2020 Climate Normals: Ashland (station USC00350304, elevation 1,729 ft), 1.7 mi from Ashland. Local conditions (valleys, hilltops, distance to water, city heat) can shift frost dates by days or weeks. The hardiness zone is from the 2023 USDA Plant Hardiness Zone Map (USDA ARS and Oregon State University PRISM). See our methodology.
Frost dates near Ashland
| City | Distance | Last spring frost | First fall frost |
|---|---|---|---|
| Talent, OR | 5.6 mi | May 6 | Oct 8 |
| Medford, OR | 12 mi | Apr 8 | Oct 29 |
| Central Point, OR | 17 mi | Apr 8 | Oct 29 |
| Eagle Point, OR | 20 mi | Apr 8 | Oct 29 |
| Yreka, CA | 32 mi | Apr 30 | Oct 18 |
| Grants Pass, OR | 37 mi | Apr 8 | Oct 28 |
| Klamath Falls, OR | 47 mi | Jun 9 | Sep 18 |
| Winston, OR | 74 mi | Mar 23 | Nov 18 |
| Roseburg, OR | 79 mi | Mar 23 | Nov 18 |
| Crescent City, CA | 83 mi | Jan 30 | Dec 25 |
Frequently asked questions
When is the last frost in Ashland?
On average, the last spring frost (32°F) in Ashland is around May 6. In about 1 year in 10 it comes after May 27, and in 9 years in 10 it comes after April 20.
When is the first frost in Ashland?
The first fall frost (32°F) usually arrives around October 8. There’s a 10% chance of a freeze by September 21 and a 90% chance by October 26.
Can it frost in Ashland after the last frost date?
Yes. Frost can form on clear, calm nights even when the air stays above 32°F. Temperatures of 36°F or lower, cold enough for frost on exposed plants, have a 50% chance of occurring after May 29.
What growing zone is Ashland?
Ashland is in USDA Plant Hardiness Zone 8a (average annual extreme minimum temperature 10 to 15°F), based on the 2023 USDA map for ZIP code 97540. See growing zones in Oregon.
More: all Oregon frost dates · Oregon growing zones · frost vs. freeze