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Will it freeze in Ponca City in the next 7 nights?
No overnight lows at or below 32°F are forecast in Ponca City during the next 7 nights in the available NWS frost forecast.
Tonight: forecast low 40°F. Above 36°F.
NWS forecast period: Thu, Nov 5, 6:00 PM CST to Fri, Nov 6, 6:00 AM CST.
No nights at or below 36°F in the National Weather Service forecast for the next 7 nights.
- Tonight 40°F Above 36°F · Slight Chance Rain Showers then Partly Cloudy
- Fri, Nov 6 37°F Above 36°F · Mostly Cloudy
- Sat, Nov 7 37°F Above 36°F · Mostly Clear
- Sun, Nov 8 40°F Above 36°F · Clear
- Mon, Nov 9 44°F Above 36°F · Mostly Clear
- Tue, Nov 10 48°F Above 36°F · Mostly Clear
- Wed, Nov 11 46°F Above 36°F · Mostly Clear
Overnight lows from the National Weather Service forecast for this location. This covers the available forecast window, not the first freeze of the whole season. Frost can form above 32°F on clear, calm nights.
Frost and freeze probabilities
Freeze dates shift from year to year. Spring percentages describe the chance of a freeze after the stated date; fall percentages describe the chance of a freeze by that date. The 10% spring date is the cautious one: a later freeze happens about 1 year in 10.
These dates describe historical probabilities, not this year’s forecast or the earliest and latest possible freezes. Different weather stations or probability thresholds can produce different published dates for the same city.
Average first hard freeze in Ponca City
The median first fall hard-freeze date (28°F) is November 5, from NOAA’s 1991–2020 Climate Normals at Ponca City Municipal Airport. This is the 50% probability date, not a forecast for this year.
| Temperature | Last spring date 90% · 50% · 10% chance of a later freeze | First fall date 10% · 50% · 90% chance of an earlier freeze | Season |
|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F frost possible | Apr 4 · Apr 21 · May 5 | Oct 3 · Oct 18 · Nov 1 | 179 days |
| 32°F freeze | Mar 25 · Apr 10 · Apr 27 | Oct 14 · Oct 27 · Nov 10 | 200 days |
| 28°F hard freeze | Mar 11 · Mar 29 · Apr 15 | Oct 21 · Nov 5 · Nov 20 | 222 days |
Average high temperature by month
1991–2020 normals at Ponca City Municipal Airport
Average low temperature by month
Months with lows near or below freezing carry frost risk
Where these frost dates come from
The frost dates for Ponca City, OK come from the nearest weather station with freeze statistics in NOAA’s 1991–2020 Climate Normals: Ponca City Municipal Airport (station USW00013969, elevation 1,000 ft), 2.3 mi from Ponca City. Local conditions (valleys, hilltops, distance to water, city heat) can shift frost dates by days or weeks. The hardiness zone is from the 2023 USDA Plant Hardiness Zone Map (USDA ARS and Oregon State University PRISM). See our methodology.
Frost dates near Ponca City
| City | Distance | Last spring frost | First fall frost |
|---|---|---|---|
| Blackwell, OK | 14 mi | Apr 12 | Oct 29 |
| Arkansas City, KS | 24 mi | Apr 11 | Oct 27 |
| Winfield, KS | 37 mi | Apr 16 | Oct 22 |
| Stillwater, OK | 40 mi | Apr 5 | Oct 30 |
| Wellington, KS | 43 mi | Apr 15 | Oct 29 |
| Enid, OK | 50 mi | Apr 6 | Nov 1 |
| Mulvane, KS | 53 mi | Apr 14 | Oct 22 |
| Cushing, OK | 54 mi | Apr 1 | Nov 5 |
| Derby, KS | 59 mi | Apr 14 | Oct 22 |
| Haysville, KS | 60 mi | Apr 14 | Oct 22 |
Frequently asked questions
When is the last frost in Ponca City?
On average, the last spring frost (32°F) in Ponca City is around April 10. In about 1 year in 10 it comes after April 27, and in 9 years in 10 it comes after March 25.
When is the first frost in Ponca City?
The first fall frost (32°F) usually arrives around October 27. There’s a 10% chance of a freeze by October 14 and a 90% chance by November 10.
Can it frost in Ponca City after the last frost date?
Yes. Frost can form on clear, calm nights even when the air stays above 32°F. Temperatures of 36°F or lower, cold enough for frost on exposed plants, have a 50% chance of occurring after April 21.
What growing zone is Ponca City?
Ponca City is in USDA Plant Hardiness Zone 7a (average annual extreme minimum temperature 0 to 5°F), based on the 2023 USDA map for ZIP code 74601. See growing zones in Oklahoma.
More: all Oklahoma frost dates · Oklahoma growing zones · frost vs. freeze