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Will it freeze in Mustang in the next 7 nights?
No overnight lows at or below 32°F are forecast in Mustang during the next 7 nights in the available NWS frost forecast.
Tonight: forecast low 43°F. Above 36°F.
NWS forecast period: Thu, Nov 5, 6:00 PM CST to Fri, Nov 6, 6:00 AM CST.
No nights at or below 36°F in the National Weather Service forecast for the next 7 nights.
- Tonight 43°F Above 36°F · Chance Rain Showers then Mostly Cloudy
- Fri, Nov 6 40°F Above 36°F · Mostly Cloudy
- Sat, Nov 7 40°F Above 36°F · Partly Cloudy
- Sun, Nov 8 42°F Above 36°F · Mostly Clear
- Mon, Nov 9 46°F Above 36°F · Mostly Clear
- Tue, Nov 10 50°F Above 36°F · Mostly Clear
- Wed, Nov 11 48°F Above 36°F · Mostly Clear
Overnight lows from the National Weather Service forecast for this location. This covers the available forecast window, not the first freeze of the whole season. Frost can form above 32°F on clear, calm nights.
Frost and freeze probabilities
Freeze dates shift from year to year. Spring percentages describe the chance of a freeze after the stated date; fall percentages describe the chance of a freeze by that date. The 10% spring date is the cautious one: a later freeze happens about 1 year in 10.
These dates describe historical probabilities, not this year’s forecast or the earliest and latest possible freezes. Different weather stations or probability thresholds can produce different published dates for the same city.
Average first hard freeze in Mustang
The median first fall hard-freeze date (28°F) is November 11, from NOAA’s 1991–2020 Climate Normals at Oklahoma City Will Rogers Airport. This is the 50% probability date, not a forecast for this year.
| Temperature | Last spring date 90% · 50% · 10% chance of a later freeze | First fall date 10% · 50% · 90% chance of an earlier freeze | Season |
|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F frost possible | Mar 31 · Apr 15 · Apr 30 | Oct 12 · Oct 26 · Nov 7 | 192 days |
| 32°F freeze | Mar 16 · Apr 4 · Apr 20 | Oct 21 · Nov 2 · Nov 17 | 213 days |
| 28°F hard freeze | Mar 3 · Mar 21 · Apr 7 | Oct 29 · Nov 11 · Nov 27 | 234 days |
Average high temperature by month
1991–2020 normals at Oklahoma City Will Rogers Airport
Average low temperature by month
Months with lows near or below freezing carry frost risk
Where these frost dates come from
The frost dates for Mustang, OK come from the nearest weather station with freeze statistics in NOAA’s 1991–2020 Climate Normals: Oklahoma City Will Rogers Airport (station USW00013967, elevation 1,285 ft), 7.0 mi from Mustang. Local conditions (valleys, hilltops, distance to water, city heat) can shift frost dates by days or weeks. The hardiness zone is from the 2023 USDA Plant Hardiness Zone Map (USDA ARS and Oregon State University PRISM). See our methodology.
Frost dates near Mustang
| City | Distance | Last spring frost | First fall frost |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tuttle, OK | 5.6 mi | Apr 4 | Nov 2 |
| Yukon, OK | 9.3 mi | Apr 2 | Nov 4 |
| Bethany, OK | 9.3 mi | Apr 2 | Nov 4 |
| Warr Acres, OK | 11 mi | Apr 2 | Nov 4 |
| Newcastle, OK | 12 mi | Mar 31 | Nov 5 |
| Oklahoma City, OK | 13 mi | Apr 4 | Nov 2 |
| Moore, OK | 15 mi | Mar 31 | Nov 5 |
| The Village, OK | 16 mi | Apr 2 | Nov 4 |
| Del City, OK | 17 mi | Apr 2 | Nov 5 |
| El Reno, OK | 17 mi | Apr 6 | Oct 31 |
Frequently asked questions
When is the last frost in Mustang?
On average, the last spring frost (32°F) in Mustang is around April 4. In about 1 year in 10 it comes after April 20, and in 9 years in 10 it comes after March 16.
When is the first frost in Mustang?
The first fall frost (32°F) usually arrives around November 2. There’s a 10% chance of a freeze by October 21 and a 90% chance by November 17.
Can it frost in Mustang after the last frost date?
Yes. Frost can form on clear, calm nights even when the air stays above 32°F. Temperatures of 36°F or lower, cold enough for frost on exposed plants, have a 50% chance of occurring after April 15.
What growing zone is Mustang?
Mustang is in USDA Plant Hardiness Zone 7b (average annual extreme minimum temperature 5 to 10°F), based on the 2023 USDA map for ZIP code 73064. See growing zones in Oklahoma.
More: all Oklahoma frost dates · Oklahoma growing zones · frost vs. freeze