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Will it freeze in Elk City in the next 7 nights?
No overnight lows at or below 32°F are forecast in Elk City during the next 7 nights in the available NWS frost forecast.
Tonight: forecast low 40°F. Above 36°F.
NWS forecast period: Thu, Nov 5, 6:00 PM CST to Fri, Nov 6, 6:00 AM CST.
No nights at or below 36°F in the National Weather Service forecast for the next 7 nights.
- Tonight 40°F Above 36°F · Partly Cloudy then Patchy Fog
- Fri, Nov 6 37°F Above 36°F · Mostly Cloudy
- Sat, Nov 7 40°F Above 36°F · Mostly Clear
- Sun, Nov 8 42°F Above 36°F · Mostly Clear
- Mon, Nov 9 45°F Above 36°F · Clear
- Tue, Nov 10 48°F Above 36°F · Mostly Clear
- Wed, Nov 11 46°F Above 36°F · Mostly Clear
Overnight lows from the National Weather Service forecast for this location. This covers the available forecast window, not the first freeze of the whole season. Frost can form above 32°F on clear, calm nights.
Frost and freeze probabilities
Freeze dates shift from year to year. Spring percentages describe the chance of a freeze after the stated date; fall percentages describe the chance of a freeze by that date. The 10% spring date is the cautious one: a later freeze happens about 1 year in 10.
These dates describe historical probabilities, not this year’s forecast or the earliest and latest possible freezes. Different weather stations or probability thresholds can produce different published dates for the same city.
Average first hard freeze in Elk City
The median first fall hard-freeze date (28°F) is November 11, from NOAA’s 1991–2020 Climate Normals at Elk City 4 W. This is the 50% probability date, not a forecast for this year.
| Temperature | Last spring date 90% · 50% · 10% chance of a later freeze | First fall date 10% · 50% · 90% chance of an earlier freeze | Season |
|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F frost possible | Mar 31 · Apr 16 · May 2 | Oct 11 · Oct 25 · Nov 6 | 190 days |
| 32°F freeze | Mar 17 · Apr 5 · Apr 24 | Oct 19 · Nov 2 · Nov 17 | 208 days |
| 28°F hard freeze | Mar 5 · Mar 25 · Apr 13 | Oct 25 · Nov 11 · Nov 28 | 231 days |
Average high temperature by month
1991–2020 normals at Elk City 4 W
Average low temperature by month
Months with lows near or below freezing carry frost risk
Where these frost dates come from
The frost dates for Elk City, OK come from the nearest weather station with freeze statistics in NOAA’s 1991–2020 Climate Normals: Elk City 4 W (station USC00342849, elevation 2,120 ft), 4.3 mi from Elk City. Local conditions (valleys, hilltops, distance to water, city heat) can shift frost dates by days or weeks. The hardiness zone is from the 2023 USDA Plant Hardiness Zone Map (USDA ARS and Oregon State University PRISM). See our methodology.
Frost dates near Elk City
| City | Distance | Last spring frost | First fall frost |
|---|---|---|---|
| Clinton, OK | 27 mi | Apr 13 | Oct 28 |
| Weatherford, OK | 43 mi | Apr 3 | Nov 3 |
| Altus, OK | 51 mi | Apr 5 | Nov 2 |
| Anadarko, OK | 70 mi | Apr 8 | Oct 30 |
| Woodward, OK | 71 mi | Apr 5 | Oct 30 |
| Lawton, OK | 78 mi | Mar 26 | Nov 7 |
| Childress, TX | 82 mi | Mar 31 | Nov 7 |
| El Reno, OK | 83 mi | Apr 6 | Oct 31 |
| Vernon, TX | 86 mi | Mar 27 | Nov 9 |
| Chickasha, OK | 87 mi | Apr 4 | Nov 1 |
Frequently asked questions
When is the last frost in Elk City?
On average, the last spring frost (32°F) in Elk City is around April 5. In about 1 year in 10 it comes after April 24, and in 9 years in 10 it comes after March 17.
When is the first frost in Elk City?
The first fall frost (32°F) usually arrives around November 2. There’s a 10% chance of a freeze by October 19 and a 90% chance by November 17.
Can it frost in Elk City after the last frost date?
Yes. Frost can form on clear, calm nights even when the air stays above 32°F. Temperatures of 36°F or lower, cold enough for frost on exposed plants, have a 50% chance of occurring after April 16.
What growing zone is Elk City?
Elk City is in USDA Plant Hardiness Zone 7b (average annual extreme minimum temperature 5 to 10°F), based on the 2023 USDA map for ZIP code 73644. See growing zones in Oklahoma.
More: all Oklahoma frost dates · Oklahoma growing zones · frost vs. freeze