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Will it freeze in Fernley in the next 7 nights?
No overnight lows at or below 32°F are forecast in Fernley during the next 7 nights in the available NWS frost forecast.
Tonight: forecast low 34°F. Frost possible.
NWS forecast period: Thu, Nov 5, 6:00 PM PST to Fri, Nov 6, 6:00 AM PST.
2 of the next 7 nights are forecast at 36°F or colder, cold enough for frost on exposed plants.
- Tonight 34°F Frost possible · Mostly Clear
- Fri, Nov 6 33°F Frost possible · Mostly Clear
- Sat, Nov 7 38°F Above 36°F · Partly Cloudy
- Sun, Nov 8 39°F Above 36°F · Partly Cloudy
- Mon, Nov 9 39°F Above 36°F · Partly Cloudy
- Tue, Nov 10 39°F Above 36°F · Partly Cloudy
- Wed, Nov 11 39°F Above 36°F · Partly Cloudy
Overnight lows from the National Weather Service forecast for this location. This covers the available forecast window, not the first freeze of the whole season. Frost can form above 32°F on clear, calm nights.
Frost and freeze probabilities
Freeze dates shift from year to year. Spring percentages describe the chance of a freeze after the stated date; fall percentages describe the chance of a freeze by that date. The 10% spring date is the cautious one: a later freeze happens about 1 year in 10.
These dates describe historical probabilities, not this year’s forecast or the earliest and latest possible freezes. Different weather stations or probability thresholds can produce different published dates for the same city.
Average first hard freeze in Fernley
The median first fall hard-freeze date (28°F) is November 4, from NOAA’s 1991–2020 Climate Normals at Lahontan Dam. This is the 50% probability date, not a forecast for this year.
| Temperature | Last spring date 90% · 50% · 10% chance of a later freeze | First fall date 10% · 50% · 90% chance of an earlier freeze | Season |
|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F frost possible | Apr 17 · May 3 · May 30 | Oct 2 · Oct 14 · Oct 29 | 162 days |
| 32°F freeze | Apr 2 · Apr 18 · May 9 | Oct 11 · Oct 25 · Nov 7 | 188 days |
| 28°F hard freeze | Mar 11 · Apr 2 · Apr 20 | Oct 21 · Nov 4 · Nov 20 | 214 days |
Average high temperature by month
1991–2020 normals at Lahontan Dam
Average low temperature by month
Months with lows near or below freezing carry frost risk
Where these frost dates come from
The frost dates for Fernley, NV come from the nearest weather station with freeze statistics in NOAA’s 1991–2020 Climate Normals: Lahontan Dam (station USC00264349, elevation 4,167 ft), 9.4 mi from Fernley. Local conditions (valleys, hilltops, distance to water, city heat) can shift frost dates by days or weeks. The hardiness zone is from the 2023 USDA Plant Hardiness Zone Map (USDA ARS and Oregon State University PRISM). See our methodology.
Frost dates near Fernley
| City | Distance | Last spring frost | First fall frost |
|---|---|---|---|
| Fallon, NV | 23 mi | May 12 | Oct 1 |
| Sparks, NV | 28 mi | May 1 | Oct 10 |
| Reno, NV | 35 mi | Apr 28 | Oct 27 |
| Carson City, NV | 41 mi | May 4 | Oct 6 |
| Truckee, CA | 55 mi | Jun 9 | Sep 25 |
| South Lake Tahoe, CA | 61 mi | Jun 7 | Sep 28 |
| Susanville, CA | 97 mi | May 16 | Oct 8 |
| Grass Valley, CA | 103 mi | Apr 10 | Nov 13 |
| Placerville, CA | 104 mi | Mar 31 | Nov 21 |
| Auburn, CA | 111 mi | Feb 25 | Dec 5 |
Frequently asked questions
When is the last frost in Fernley?
On average, the last spring frost (32°F) in Fernley is around April 18. In about 1 year in 10 it comes after May 9, and in 9 years in 10 it comes after April 2.
When is the first frost in Fernley?
The first fall frost (32°F) usually arrives around October 25. There’s a 10% chance of a freeze by October 11 and a 90% chance by November 7.
Can it frost in Fernley after the last frost date?
Yes. Frost can form on clear, calm nights even when the air stays above 32°F. Temperatures of 36°F or lower, cold enough for frost on exposed plants, have a 50% chance of occurring after May 3.
What growing zone is Fernley?
Fernley is in USDA Plant Hardiness Zone 7a (average annual extreme minimum temperature 0 to 5°F), based on the 2023 USDA map for ZIP code 89442. See growing zones in Nevada.
More: all Nevada frost dates · Nevada growing zones · UV index today in Fernley · frost vs. freeze