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Will it freeze in Pass Christian in the next 7 nights?
No overnight lows at or below 32°F are forecast in Pass Christian during the next 7 nights in the available NWS frost forecast.
Tonight: forecast low 58°F. Above 36°F.
NWS forecast period: Thu, Nov 5, 6:00 PM CST to Fri, Nov 6, 6:00 AM CST.
No nights at or below 36°F in the National Weather Service forecast for the next 7 nights.
- Tonight 58°F Above 36°F · Mostly Clear
- Fri, Nov 6 53°F Above 36°F · Mostly Clear
- Sat, Nov 7 48°F Above 36°F · Partly Cloudy
- Sun, Nov 8 50°F Above 36°F · Mostly Cloudy
- Mon, Nov 9 51°F Above 36°F · Partly Cloudy
- Tue, Nov 10 52°F Above 36°F · Slight Chance Rain Showers
- Wed, Nov 11 53°F Above 36°F · Partly Cloudy
Overnight lows from the National Weather Service forecast for this location. This covers the available forecast window, not the first freeze of the whole season. Frost can form above 32°F on clear, calm nights.
Frost and freeze probabilities
Freeze dates shift from year to year. Spring percentages describe the chance of a freeze after the stated date; fall percentages describe the chance of a freeze by that date. The 10% spring date is the cautious one: a later freeze happens about 1 year in 10.
These dates describe historical probabilities, not this year’s forecast or the earliest and latest possible freezes. Different weather stations or probability thresholds can produce different published dates for the same city.
Average first hard freeze in Pass Christian
The median first fall hard-freeze date (28°F) is January 2, from NOAA’s 1991–2020 Climate Normals at Gulfport Naval Center. This is the 50% probability date, not a forecast for this year.
| Temperature | Last spring date 90% · 50% · 10% chance of a later freeze | First fall date 10% · 50% · 90% chance of an earlier freeze | Season |
|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F frost possible | Feb 7 · Mar 5 · Mar 26 | Nov 6 · Nov 26 · Dec 22 | 267 days |
| 32°F freeze | Jan 17 · Feb 18 · Mar 14 | Nov 18 · Dec 14 · Jan 13 | 300 days |
| 28°F hard freeze | Dec 31 · Jan 31 · Mar 2 | Dec 3 · Jan 2 · Feb 4 | 335 days |
Average high temperature by month
1991–2020 normals at Gulfport Naval Center
Average low temperature by month
Months with lows near or below freezing carry frost risk
Where these frost dates come from
The frost dates for Pass Christian, MS come from the nearest weather station with freeze statistics in NOAA’s 1991–2020 Climate Normals: Gulfport Naval Center (station USC00223671, elevation 35 ft), 8.1 mi from Pass Christian. Local conditions (valleys, hilltops, distance to water, city heat) can shift frost dates by days or weeks. The hardiness zone is from the 2023 USDA Plant Hardiness Zone Map (USDA ARS and Oregon State University PRISM). See our methodology.
Frost dates near Pass Christian
| City | Distance | Last spring frost | First fall frost |
|---|---|---|---|
| Long Beach, MS | 5.0 mi | Feb 18 | Dec 14 |
| Bay St. Louis, MS | 7.5 mi | Feb 21 | Dec 3 |
| Diamondhead, MS | 8.1 mi | Feb 21 | Dec 3 |
| Waveland, MS | 9.3 mi | Feb 21 | Dec 3 |
| Gulfport, MS | 12 mi | Feb 23 | Dec 3 |
| Biloxi, MS | 20 mi | Feb 12 | Dec 14 |
| D'Iberville, MS | 22 mi | Feb 12 | Dec 14 |
| Ocean Springs, MS | 27 mi | Feb 12 | Dec 14 |
| Picayune, MS | 30 mi | Mar 9 | Nov 18 |
| Slidell, LA | 32 mi | Feb 24 | Dec 1 |
Frequently asked questions
When is the last frost in Pass Christian?
On average, the last spring frost (32°F) in Pass Christian is around February 18. In about 1 year in 10 it comes after March 14, and in 9 years in 10 it comes after January 17.
When is the first frost in Pass Christian?
The first fall frost (32°F) usually arrives around December 14. There’s a 10% chance of a freeze by November 18 and a 90% chance by January 13.
Can it frost in Pass Christian after the last frost date?
Yes. Frost can form on clear, calm nights even when the air stays above 32°F. Temperatures of 36°F or lower, cold enough for frost on exposed plants, have a 50% chance of occurring after March 5.
What growing zone is Pass Christian?
Pass Christian is in USDA Plant Hardiness Zone 9a (average annual extreme minimum temperature 20 to 25°F), based on the 2023 USDA map for ZIP code 39560. See growing zones in Mississippi.
More: all Mississippi frost dates · Mississippi growing zones · frost vs. freeze