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Will it freeze in St. Francis in the next 7 nights?
The earliest overnight low at or below 32°F in the available NWS frost forecast is Tonight: 30°F (Thu, Nov 5, 6:00 PM CST to Fri, Nov 6, 6:00 AM CST).
Tonight: forecast low 30°F. Freeze.
NWS forecast period: Thu, Nov 5, 6:00 PM CST to Fri, Nov 6, 6:00 AM CST.
6 of the next 7 nights are forecast at 36°F or colder, cold enough for frost on exposed plants.
- Tonight 30°F Freeze · Mostly Cloudy then Patchy Fog
- Fri, Nov 6 27°F Hard freeze · Areas Of Fog
- Sat, Nov 7 34°F Frost possible · Mostly Clear
- Sun, Nov 8 36°F Frost possible · Mostly Clear
- Mon, Nov 9 37°F Above 36°F · Mostly Clear
- Tue, Nov 10 34°F Frost possible · Partly Cloudy
- Wed, Nov 11 36°F Frost possible · Partly Cloudy
Overnight lows from the National Weather Service forecast for this location. This covers the available forecast window, not the first freeze of the whole season. Frost can form above 32°F on clear, calm nights.
Frost and freeze probabilities
Freeze dates shift from year to year. Spring percentages describe the chance of a freeze after the stated date; fall percentages describe the chance of a freeze by that date. The 10% spring date is the cautious one: a later freeze happens about 1 year in 10.
These dates describe historical probabilities, not this year’s forecast or the earliest and latest possible freezes. Different weather stations or probability thresholds can produce different published dates for the same city.
Average first hard freeze in St. Francis
The median first fall hard-freeze date (28°F) is October 19, from NOAA’s 1991–2020 Climate Normals at Cedar. This is the 50% probability date, not a forecast for this year.
| Temperature | Last spring date 90% · 50% · 10% chance of a later freeze | First fall date 10% · 50% · 90% chance of an earlier freeze | Season |
|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F frost possible | Apr 28 · May 12 · May 30 | Sep 16 · Sep 28 · Oct 11 | 139 days |
| 32°F freeze | Apr 17 · May 1 · May 17 | Sep 23 · Oct 7 · Oct 22 | 158 days |
| 28°F hard freeze | Apr 7 · Apr 20 · May 3 | Oct 3 · Oct 19 · Nov 2 | 180 days |
Average high temperature by month
1991–2020 normals at Cedar
Average low temperature by month
Months with lows near or below freezing carry frost risk
Where these frost dates come from
The frost dates for St. Francis, MN come from the nearest weather station with freeze statistics in NOAA’s 1991–2020 Climate Normals: Cedar (station USC00211390, elevation 907 ft), 7.3 mi from St. Francis. Local conditions (valleys, hilltops, distance to water, city heat) can shift frost dates by days or weeks. The hardiness zone is from the 2023 USDA Plant Hardiness Zone Map (USDA ARS and Oregon State University PRISM). See our methodology.
Frost dates near St. Francis
| City | Distance | Last spring frost | First fall frost |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oak Grove, MN | 4.3 mi | May 1 | Oct 7 |
| East Bethel, MN | 9.3 mi | May 1 | Oct 7 |
| Elk River, MN | 9.3 mi | May 4 | Oct 5 |
| Ramsey, MN | 9.9 mi | May 4 | Oct 5 |
| Isanti, MN | 9.9 mi | May 2 | Oct 4 |
| Andover, MN | 9.9 mi | May 5 | Oct 2 |
| Zimmerman, MN | 11 mi | May 4 | Oct 5 |
| Baldwin, MN | 11 mi | May 7 | Sep 28 |
| Anoka, MN | 12 mi | May 5 | Oct 2 |
| Ham Lake, MN | 14 mi | May 5 | Oct 2 |
Frequently asked questions
When is the last frost in St. Francis?
On average, the last spring frost (32°F) in St. Francis is around May 1. In about 1 year in 10 it comes after May 17, and in 9 years in 10 it comes after April 17.
When is the first frost in St. Francis?
The first fall frost (32°F) usually arrives around October 7. There’s a 10% chance of a freeze by September 23 and a 90% chance by October 22.
Can it frost in St. Francis after the last frost date?
Yes. Frost can form on clear, calm nights even when the air stays above 32°F. Temperatures of 36°F or lower, cold enough for frost on exposed plants, have a 50% chance of occurring after May 12.
What growing zone is St. Francis?
St. Francis is in USDA Plant Hardiness Zone 4b (average annual extreme minimum temperature −25 to −20°F), based on the 2023 USDA map for ZIP code 55070. See growing zones in Minnesota.
More: all Minnesota frost dates · Minnesota growing zones · frost vs. freeze