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Will it freeze in Leonardtown in the next 7 nights?
No overnight lows at or below 32°F are forecast in Leonardtown during the next 7 nights in the available NWS frost forecast.
Tonight: forecast low 62°F. Above 36°F.
NWS forecast period: Thu, Nov 5, 6:00 PM EST to Fri, Nov 6, 6:00 AM EST.
No nights at or below 36°F in the National Weather Service forecast for the next 7 nights.
- Tonight 62°F Above 36°F · Slight Chance Showers And Thunderstorms then Chance Showers And Thunderstorms
- Fri, Nov 6 48°F Above 36°F · Mostly Cloudy
- Sat, Nov 7 39°F Above 36°F · Mostly Clear
- Sun, Nov 8 38°F Above 36°F · Mostly Clear
- Mon, Nov 9 38°F Above 36°F · Mostly Clear
- Tue, Nov 10 40°F Above 36°F · Mostly Clear
- Wed, Nov 11 38°F Above 36°F · Partly Cloudy
Overnight lows from the National Weather Service forecast for this location. This covers the available forecast window, not the first freeze of the whole season. Frost can form above 32°F on clear, calm nights.
Frost and freeze probabilities
Freeze dates shift from year to year. Spring percentages describe the chance of a freeze after the stated date; fall percentages describe the chance of a freeze by that date. The 10% spring date is the cautious one: a later freeze happens about 1 year in 10.
These dates describe historical probabilities, not this year’s forecast or the earliest and latest possible freezes. Different weather stations or probability thresholds can produce different published dates for the same city.
Average first hard freeze in Leonardtown
The median first fall hard-freeze date (28°F) is December 9, from NOAA’s 1991–2020 Climate Normals at Solomons. This is the 50% probability date, not a forecast for this year.
| Temperature | Last spring date 90% · 50% · 10% chance of a later freeze | First fall date 10% · 50% · 90% chance of an earlier freeze | Season |
|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F frost possible | Mar 20 · Apr 3 · Apr 18 | Oct 31 · Nov 13 · Dec 1 | 223 days |
| 32°F freeze | Mar 6 · Mar 22 · Apr 5 | Nov 10 · Nov 26 · Dec 12 | 248 days |
| 28°F hard freeze | Feb 21 · Mar 10 · Mar 25 | Nov 24 · Dec 9 · Dec 29 | 276 days |
Average high temperature by month
1991–2020 normals at Solomons
Average low temperature by month
Months with lows near or below freezing carry frost risk
Where these frost dates come from
The frost dates for Leonardtown, MD come from the nearest weather station with freeze statistics in NOAA’s 1991–2020 Climate Normals: Solomons (station USC00188405, elevation 12 ft), 10 mi from Leonardtown. Local conditions (valleys, hilltops, distance to water, city heat) can shift frost dates by days or weeks. The hardiness zone is from the 2023 USDA Plant Hardiness Zone Map (USDA ARS and Oregon State University PRISM). See our methodology.
Frost dates near Leonardtown
| City | Distance | Last spring frost | First fall frost |
|---|---|---|---|
| La Plata, MD | 24 mi | Apr 17 | Oct 27 |
| Chesapeake Beach, MD | 27 mi | Apr 9 | Oct 29 |
| Cambridge, MD | 35 mi | Apr 1 | Nov 7 |
| District Heights, MD | 40 mi | Mar 29 | Nov 8 |
| Dumfries, VA | 41 mi | Mar 28 | Nov 8 |
| Alexandria, VA | 43 mi | Mar 24 | Nov 18 |
| Glenarden, MD | 45 mi | Apr 22 | Oct 22 |
| Easton, MD | 45 mi | Apr 1 | Nov 7 |
| Bowie, MD | 45 mi | Apr 22 | Oct 22 |
| Cheverly, MD | 45 mi | Mar 29 | Nov 8 |
Frequently asked questions
When is the last frost in Leonardtown?
On average, the last spring frost (32°F) in Leonardtown is around March 22. In about 1 year in 10 it comes after April 5, and in 9 years in 10 it comes after March 6.
When is the first frost in Leonardtown?
The first fall frost (32°F) usually arrives around November 26. There’s a 10% chance of a freeze by November 10 and a 90% chance by December 12.
Can it frost in Leonardtown after the last frost date?
Yes. Frost can form on clear, calm nights even when the air stays above 32°F. Temperatures of 36°F or lower, cold enough for frost on exposed plants, have a 50% chance of occurring after April 3.
What growing zone is Leonardtown?
Leonardtown is in USDA Plant Hardiness Zone 7b (average annual extreme minimum temperature 5 to 10°F), based on the 2023 USDA map for ZIP code 20650. See growing zones in Maryland.
More: all Maryland frost dates · Maryland growing zones · frost vs. freeze