Checking current alerts… View NWS forecast and alerts.
Will it freeze in Taylor Mill in the next 7 nights?
No overnight lows at or below 32°F are forecast in Taylor Mill during the next 7 nights in the available NWS frost forecast.
Tonight: forecast low 45°F. Above 36°F.
NWS forecast period: Thu, Nov 5, 6:00 PM EST to Fri, Nov 6, 6:00 AM EST.
2 of the next 7 nights are forecast at 36°F or colder, cold enough for frost on exposed plants.
- Tonight 45°F Above 36°F · Partly Cloudy
- Fri, Nov 6 37°F Above 36°F · Partly Cloudy
- Sat, Nov 7 34°F Frost possible · Partly Cloudy
- Sun, Nov 8 35°F Frost possible · Mostly Clear
- Mon, Nov 9 39°F Above 36°F · Mostly Clear
- Tue, Nov 10 39°F Above 36°F · Mostly Clear
- Wed, Nov 11 39°F Above 36°F · Partly Cloudy
Overnight lows from the National Weather Service forecast for this location. This covers the available forecast window, not the first freeze of the whole season. Frost can form above 32°F on clear, calm nights.
Frost and freeze probabilities
Freeze dates shift from year to year. Spring percentages describe the chance of a freeze after the stated date; fall percentages describe the chance of a freeze by that date. The 10% spring date is the cautious one: a later freeze happens about 1 year in 10.
These dates describe historical probabilities, not this year’s forecast or the earliest and latest possible freezes. Different weather stations or probability thresholds can produce different published dates for the same city.
Average first hard freeze in Taylor Mill
The median first fall hard-freeze date (28°F) is November 4, from NOAA’s 1991–2020 Climate Normals at Cincinnati Lunken Airport. This is the 50% probability date, not a forecast for this year.
| Temperature | Last spring date 90% · 50% · 10% chance of a later freeze | First fall date 10% · 50% · 90% chance of an earlier freeze | Season |
|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F frost possible | Apr 14 · Apr 29 · May 14 | Oct 2 · Oct 14 · Oct 27 | 168 days |
| 32°F freeze | Apr 2 · Apr 16 · May 3 | Oct 12 · Oct 25 · Nov 5 | 190 days |
| 28°F hard freeze | Mar 19 · Apr 2 · Apr 18 | Oct 24 · Nov 4 · Nov 18 | 215 days |
Average high temperature by month
1991–2020 normals at Cincinnati Lunken Airport
Average low temperature by month
Months with lows near or below freezing carry frost risk
Where these frost dates come from
The frost dates for Taylor Mill, KY come from the nearest weather station with freeze statistics in NOAA’s 1991–2020 Climate Normals: Cincinnati Lunken Airport (station USW00093812, elevation 490 ft), 7.8 mi from Taylor Mill. Local conditions (valleys, hilltops, distance to water, city heat) can shift frost dates by days or weeks. The hardiness zone is from the 2023 USDA Plant Hardiness Zone Map (USDA ARS and Oregon State University PRISM). See our methodology.
Frost dates near Taylor Mill
| City | Distance | Last spring frost | First fall frost |
|---|---|---|---|
| Covington, KY | 1.9 mi | Apr 16 | Oct 25 |
| Highland Heights, KY | 3.1 mi | Apr 16 | Oct 25 |
| Fort Wright, KY | 3.1 mi | Apr 18 | Oct 25 |
| Edgewood, KY | 3.1 mi | Apr 18 | Oct 25 |
| Cold Spring, KY | 3.7 mi | Apr 16 | Oct 25 |
| Fort Mitchell, KY | 3.7 mi | Apr 18 | Oct 25 |
| Independence, KY | 4.3 mi | Apr 18 | Oct 25 |
| Newport, KY | 5.6 mi | Apr 16 | Oct 25 |
| Fort Thomas, KY | 5.6 mi | Apr 16 | Oct 25 |
| Elsmere, KY | 5.6 mi | Apr 18 | Oct 25 |
Frequently asked questions
When is the last frost in Taylor Mill?
On average, the last spring frost (32°F) in Taylor Mill is around April 16. In about 1 year in 10 it comes after May 3, and in 9 years in 10 it comes after April 2.
When is the first frost in Taylor Mill?
The first fall frost (32°F) usually arrives around October 25. There’s a 10% chance of a freeze by October 12 and a 90% chance by November 5.
Can it frost in Taylor Mill after the last frost date?
Yes. Frost can form on clear, calm nights even when the air stays above 32°F. Temperatures of 36°F or lower, cold enough for frost on exposed plants, have a 50% chance of occurring after April 29.
What growing zone is Taylor Mill?
Taylor Mill is in USDA Plant Hardiness Zone 6b (average annual extreme minimum temperature −5 to 0°F), based on the 2023 USDA map for ZIP code 41015. See growing zones in Kentucky.
More: all Kentucky frost dates · Kentucky growing zones · frost vs. freeze