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Will it freeze in Shively in the next 7 nights?
No overnight lows at or below 32°F are forecast in Shively during the next 7 nights in the available NWS frost forecast.
Tonight: forecast low 45°F. Above 36°F.
NWS forecast period: Thu, Nov 5, 6:00 PM EST to Fri, Nov 6, 6:00 AM EST.
2 of the next 7 nights are forecast at 36°F or colder, cold enough for frost on exposed plants.
- Tonight 45°F Above 36°F · Mostly Clear
- Fri, Nov 6 38°F Above 36°F · Mostly Clear
- Sat, Nov 7 35°F Frost possible · Mostly Clear
- Sun, Nov 8 36°F Frost possible · Mostly Clear
- Mon, Nov 9 39°F Above 36°F · Mostly Clear
- Tue, Nov 10 40°F Above 36°F · Mostly Clear
- Wed, Nov 11 40°F Above 36°F · Partly Cloudy
Overnight lows from the National Weather Service forecast for this location. This covers the available forecast window, not the first freeze of the whole season. Frost can form above 32°F on clear, calm nights.
Frost and freeze probabilities
Freeze dates shift from year to year. Spring percentages describe the chance of a freeze after the stated date; fall percentages describe the chance of a freeze by that date. The 10% spring date is the cautious one: a later freeze happens about 1 year in 10.
These dates describe historical probabilities, not this year’s forecast or the earliest and latest possible freezes. Different weather stations or probability thresholds can produce different published dates for the same city.
Average first hard freeze in Shively
The median first fall hard-freeze date (28°F) is November 17, from NOAA’s 1991–2020 Climate Normals at Louisville Intl Airport. This is the 50% probability date, not a forecast for this year.
| Temperature | Last spring date 90% · 50% · 10% chance of a later freeze | First fall date 10% · 50% · 90% chance of an earlier freeze | Season |
|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F frost possible | Mar 29 · Apr 11 · Apr 28 | Oct 16 · Oct 29 · Nov 9 | 199 days |
| 32°F freeze | Mar 14 · Mar 31 · Apr 16 | Oct 28 · Nov 7 · Nov 23 | 222 days |
| 28°F hard freeze | Mar 1 · Mar 20 · Apr 3 | Nov 4 · Nov 17 · Dec 4 | 244 days |
Average high temperature by month
1991–2020 normals at Louisville Intl Airport
Average low temperature by month
Months with lows near or below freezing carry frost risk
Where these frost dates come from
The frost dates for Shively, KY come from the nearest weather station with freeze statistics in NOAA’s 1991–2020 Climate Normals: Louisville Intl Airport (station USW00093821, elevation 488 ft), 4.2 mi from Shively. Local conditions (valleys, hilltops, distance to water, city heat) can shift frost dates by days or weeks. The hardiness zone is from the 2023 USDA Plant Hardiness Zone Map (USDA ARS and Oregon State University PRISM). See our methodology.
Frost dates near Shively
| City | Distance | Last spring frost | First fall frost |
|---|---|---|---|
| New Albany, IN | 8.1 mi | Mar 31 | Nov 9 |
| Clarksville, IN | 8.7 mi | Mar 31 | Nov 9 |
| Louisville, KY | 9.3 mi | Apr 6 | Nov 1 |
| St. Matthews, KY | 9.9 mi | Apr 3 | Nov 3 |
| Jeffersonville, IN | 11 mi | Mar 31 | Nov 9 |
| Hillview, KY | 11 mi | Apr 6 | Nov 1 |
| Lyndon, KY | 13 mi | Apr 3 | Nov 3 |
| Jeffersontown, KY | 13 mi | Apr 3 | Nov 3 |
| Sellersburg, IN | 14 mi | Mar 31 | Nov 9 |
| Douglass Hills, KY | 14 mi | Apr 3 | Nov 3 |
Frequently asked questions
When is the last frost in Shively?
On average, the last spring frost (32°F) in Shively is around March 31. In about 1 year in 10 it comes after April 16, and in 9 years in 10 it comes after March 14.
When is the first frost in Shively?
The first fall frost (32°F) usually arrives around November 7. There’s a 10% chance of a freeze by October 28 and a 90% chance by November 23.
Can it frost in Shively after the last frost date?
Yes. Frost can form on clear, calm nights even when the air stays above 32°F. Temperatures of 36°F or lower, cold enough for frost on exposed plants, have a 50% chance of occurring after April 11.
What growing zone is Shively?
Shively is in USDA Plant Hardiness Zone 7a (average annual extreme minimum temperature 0 to 5°F), based on the 2023 USDA map for ZIP code 40216. See growing zones in Kentucky.
More: all Kentucky frost dates · Kentucky growing zones · frost vs. freeze