Checking current alerts… View NWS forecast and alerts.
Will it freeze in Monticello in the next 7 nights?
The earliest overnight low at or below 32°F in the available NWS frost forecast is Fri, Nov 6: 32°F (Fri, Nov 6, 6:00 PM EST to Sat, Nov 7, 6:00 AM EST).
Tonight: forecast low 39°F. Above 36°F.
NWS forecast period: Thu, Nov 5, 6:00 PM EST to Fri, Nov 6, 6:00 AM EST.
6 of the next 7 nights are forecast at 36°F or colder, cold enough for frost on exposed plants.
- Tonight 39°F Above 36°F · Areas Of Fog
- Fri, Nov 6 32°F Freeze · Mostly Cloudy
- Sat, Nov 7 25°F Hard freeze · Partly Cloudy then Areas Of Frost
- Sun, Nov 8 26°F Hard freeze · Mostly Clear then Widespread Frost
- Mon, Nov 9 29°F Freeze · Mostly Clear
- Tue, Nov 10 30°F Freeze · Mostly Clear
- Wed, Nov 11 32°F Freeze · Mostly Clear
Overnight lows from the National Weather Service forecast for this location. This covers the available forecast window, not the first freeze of the whole season. Frost can form above 32°F on clear, calm nights.
Frost and freeze probabilities
Freeze dates shift from year to year. Spring percentages describe the chance of a freeze after the stated date; fall percentages describe the chance of a freeze by that date. The 10% spring date is the cautious one: a later freeze happens about 1 year in 10.
These dates describe historical probabilities, not this year’s forecast or the earliest and latest possible freezes. Different weather stations or probability thresholds can produce different published dates for the same city.
Average first hard freeze in Monticello
The median first fall hard-freeze date (28°F) is November 3, from NOAA’s 1991–2020 Climate Normals at Monticello 3 NE. This is the 50% probability date, not a forecast for this year.
| Temperature | Last spring date 90% · 50% · 10% chance of a later freeze | First fall date 10% · 50% · 90% chance of an earlier freeze | Season |
|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F frost possible | Apr 14 · Apr 29 · May 15 | Oct 4 · Oct 16 · Oct 30 | 168 days |
| 32°F freeze | Mar 31 · Apr 18 · May 5 | Oct 14 · Oct 26 · Nov 7 | 190 days |
| 28°F hard freeze | Mar 17 · Apr 4 · Apr 23 | Oct 21 · Nov 3 · Nov 18 | 214 days |
Average high temperature by month
1991–2020 normals at Monticello 3 NE
Average low temperature by month
Months with lows near or below freezing carry frost risk
Where these frost dates come from
The frost dates for Monticello, KY come from the nearest weather station with freeze statistics in NOAA’s 1991–2020 Climate Normals: Monticello 3 NE (station USC00155524, elevation 979 ft), 2.2 mi from Monticello. Local conditions (valleys, hilltops, distance to water, city heat) can shift frost dates by days or weeks. The hardiness zone is from the 2023 USDA Plant Hardiness Zone Map (USDA ARS and Oregon State University PRISM). See our methodology.
Frost dates near Monticello
| City | Distance | Last spring frost | First fall frost |
|---|---|---|---|
| Somerset, KY | 22 mi | Apr 5 | Oct 30 |
| Williamsburg, KY | 39 mi | Apr 21 | Oct 22 |
| Corbin, KY | 42 mi | Apr 15 | Oct 25 |
| Campbellsville, KY | 44 mi | Apr 15 | Oct 24 |
| London, KY | 47 mi | Apr 15 | Oct 25 |
| La Follette, TN | 52 mi | Apr 22 | Oct 25 |
| Lebanon, KY | 55 mi | Apr 22 | Oct 20 |
| Danville, KY | 55 mi | Apr 9 | Oct 27 |
| Berea, KY | 60 mi | Apr 5 | Nov 2 |
| Cookeville, TN | 60 mi | Apr 14 | Oct 25 |
Frequently asked questions
When is the last frost in Monticello?
On average, the last spring frost (32°F) in Monticello is around April 18. In about 1 year in 10 it comes after May 5, and in 9 years in 10 it comes after March 31.
When is the first frost in Monticello?
The first fall frost (32°F) usually arrives around October 26. There’s a 10% chance of a freeze by October 14 and a 90% chance by November 7.
Can it frost in Monticello after the last frost date?
Yes. Frost can form on clear, calm nights even when the air stays above 32°F. Temperatures of 36°F or lower, cold enough for frost on exposed plants, have a 50% chance of occurring after April 29.
What growing zone is Monticello?
Monticello is in USDA Plant Hardiness Zone 7a (average annual extreme minimum temperature 0 to 5°F), based on the 2023 USDA map for ZIP code 42633. See growing zones in Kentucky.
More: all Kentucky frost dates · Kentucky growing zones · frost vs. freeze