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Will it freeze in Middletown in the next 7 nights?
No overnight lows at or below 32°F are forecast in Middletown during the next 7 nights in the available NWS frost forecast.
Tonight: forecast low 45°F. Above 36°F.
NWS forecast period: Thu, Nov 5, 6:00 PM EST to Fri, Nov 6, 6:00 AM EST.
2 of the next 7 nights are forecast at 36°F or colder, cold enough for frost on exposed plants.
- Tonight 45°F Above 36°F · Mostly Clear
- Fri, Nov 6 37°F Above 36°F · Mostly Clear
- Sat, Nov 7 34°F Frost possible · Partly Cloudy
- Sun, Nov 8 34°F Frost possible · Mostly Clear
- Mon, Nov 9 38°F Above 36°F · Mostly Clear
- Tue, Nov 10 39°F Above 36°F · Mostly Clear
- Wed, Nov 11 38°F Above 36°F · Partly Cloudy
Overnight lows from the National Weather Service forecast for this location. This covers the available forecast window, not the first freeze of the whole season. Frost can form above 32°F on clear, calm nights.
Frost and freeze probabilities
Freeze dates shift from year to year. Spring percentages describe the chance of a freeze after the stated date; fall percentages describe the chance of a freeze by that date. The 10% spring date is the cautious one: a later freeze happens about 1 year in 10.
These dates describe historical probabilities, not this year’s forecast or the earliest and latest possible freezes. Different weather stations or probability thresholds can produce different published dates for the same city.
Average first hard freeze in Middletown
The median first fall hard-freeze date (28°F) is November 13, from NOAA’s 1991–2020 Climate Normals at Louisville Bowman Field. This is the 50% probability date, not a forecast for this year.
| Temperature | Last spring date 90% · 50% · 10% chance of a later freeze | First fall date 10% · 50% · 90% chance of an earlier freeze | Season |
|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F frost possible | Apr 2 · Apr 16 · May 3 | Oct 12 · Oct 23 · Nov 3 | 189 days |
| 32°F freeze | Mar 18 · Apr 3 · Apr 19 | Oct 21 · Nov 3 · Nov 16 | 214 days |
| 28°F hard freeze | Mar 4 · Mar 22 · Apr 5 | Nov 1 · Nov 13 · Dec 1 | 237 days |
Average high temperature by month
1991–2020 normals at Louisville Bowman Field
Average low temperature by month
Months with lows near or below freezing carry frost risk
Where these frost dates come from
The frost dates for Middletown, KY come from the nearest weather station with freeze statistics in NOAA’s 1991–2020 Climate Normals: Louisville Bowman Field (station USW00013810, elevation 540 ft), 7.8 mi from Middletown. Local conditions (valleys, hilltops, distance to water, city heat) can shift frost dates by days or weeks. The hardiness zone is from the 2023 USDA Plant Hardiness Zone Map (USDA ARS and Oregon State University PRISM). See our methodology.
Frost dates near Middletown
| City | Distance | Last spring frost | First fall frost |
|---|---|---|---|
| Douglass Hills, KY | 1.9 mi | Apr 3 | Nov 3 |
| Jeffersontown, KY | 3.7 mi | Apr 3 | Nov 3 |
| Lyndon, KY | 3.7 mi | Apr 3 | Nov 3 |
| St. Matthews, KY | 6.2 mi | Apr 3 | Nov 3 |
| Crestwood, KY | 7.5 mi | Apr 12 | Oct 25 |
| Louisville, KY | 8.7 mi | Apr 6 | Nov 1 |
| Jeffersonville, IN | 12 mi | Mar 31 | Nov 9 |
| La Grange, KY | 13 mi | Apr 12 | Oct 25 |
| Mount Washington, KY | 14 mi | Apr 6 | Nov 1 |
| Clarksville, IN | 14 mi | Mar 31 | Nov 9 |
Frequently asked questions
When is the last frost in Middletown?
On average, the last spring frost (32°F) in Middletown is around April 3. In about 1 year in 10 it comes after April 19, and in 9 years in 10 it comes after March 18.
When is the first frost in Middletown?
The first fall frost (32°F) usually arrives around November 3. There’s a 10% chance of a freeze by October 21 and a 90% chance by November 16.
Can it frost in Middletown after the last frost date?
Yes. Frost can form on clear, calm nights even when the air stays above 32°F. Temperatures of 36°F or lower, cold enough for frost on exposed plants, have a 50% chance of occurring after April 16.
What growing zone is Middletown?
Middletown is in USDA Plant Hardiness Zone 7a (average annual extreme minimum temperature 0 to 5°F), based on the 2023 USDA map for ZIP code 40243. See growing zones in Kentucky.
More: all Kentucky frost dates · Kentucky growing zones · frost vs. freeze