Checking current alerts… View NWS forecast and alerts.
Will it freeze in Flatwoods in the next 7 nights?
No overnight lows at or below 32°F are forecast in Flatwoods during the next 7 nights in the available NWS frost forecast.
Tonight: forecast low 46°F. Above 36°F.
NWS forecast period: Thu, Nov 5, 6:00 PM EST to Fri, Nov 6, 6:00 AM EST.
3 of the next 7 nights are forecast at 36°F or colder, cold enough for frost on exposed plants.
- Tonight 46°F Above 36°F · Partly Cloudy
- Fri, Nov 6 38°F Above 36°F · Partly Cloudy
- Sat, Nov 7 34°F Frost possible · Partly Cloudy
- Sun, Nov 8 34°F Frost possible · Mostly Clear then Areas Of Frost
- Mon, Nov 9 37°F Above 36°F · Mostly Clear
- Tue, Nov 10 38°F Above 36°F · Mostly Clear
- Wed, Nov 11 36°F Frost possible · Partly Cloudy
Overnight lows from the National Weather Service forecast for this location. This covers the available forecast window, not the first freeze of the whole season. Frost can form above 32°F on clear, calm nights.
Frost and freeze probabilities
Freeze dates shift from year to year. Spring percentages describe the chance of a freeze after the stated date; fall percentages describe the chance of a freeze by that date. The 10% spring date is the cautious one: a later freeze happens about 1 year in 10.
These dates describe historical probabilities, not this year’s forecast or the earliest and latest possible freezes. Different weather stations or probability thresholds can produce different published dates for the same city.
Average first hard freeze in Flatwoods
The median first fall hard-freeze date (28°F) is November 1, from NOAA’s 1991–2020 Climate Normals at Ashland. This is the 50% probability date, not a forecast for this year.
| Temperature | Last spring date 90% · 50% · 10% chance of a later freeze | First fall date 10% · 50% · 90% chance of an earlier freeze | Season |
|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F frost possible | Apr 18 · May 4 · May 18 | Oct 1 · Oct 14 · Oct 26 | 162 days |
| 32°F freeze | Apr 6 · Apr 22 · May 11 | Oct 11 · Oct 23 · Nov 3 | 181 days |
| 28°F hard freeze | Mar 24 · Apr 8 · May 1 | Oct 19 · Nov 1 · Nov 14 | 205 days |
Average high temperature by month
1991–2020 normals at Ashland
Average low temperature by month
Months with lows near or below freezing carry frost risk
Where these frost dates come from
The frost dates for Flatwoods, KY come from the nearest weather station with freeze statistics in NOAA’s 1991–2020 Climate Normals: Ashland (station USC00150254, elevation 560 ft), 8.0 mi from Flatwoods. Local conditions (valleys, hilltops, distance to water, city heat) can shift frost dates by days or weeks. The hardiness zone is from the 2023 USDA Plant Hardiness Zone Map (USDA ARS and Oregon State University PRISM). See our methodology.
Frost dates near Flatwoods
| City | Distance | Last spring frost | First fall frost |
|---|---|---|---|
| Ironton, OH | 2.5 mi | Apr 22 | Oct 23 |
| Ashland, KY | 6.2 mi | Apr 22 | Oct 23 |
| Huntington, WV | 18 mi | Apr 12 | Oct 30 |
| Portsmouth, OH | 20 mi | Apr 17 | Oct 25 |
| Jackson, OH | 36 mi | Apr 22 | Oct 21 |
| Hurricane, WV | 39 mi | Apr 18 | Oct 30 |
| Wellston, OH | 42 mi | Apr 22 | Oct 21 |
| Morehead, KY | 45 mi | Apr 17 | Oct 25 |
| St. Albans, WV | 50 mi | Apr 18 | Oct 26 |
| Nitro, WV | 50 mi | Apr 18 | Oct 26 |
Frequently asked questions
When is the last frost in Flatwoods?
On average, the last spring frost (32°F) in Flatwoods is around April 22. In about 1 year in 10 it comes after May 11, and in 9 years in 10 it comes after April 6.
When is the first frost in Flatwoods?
The first fall frost (32°F) usually arrives around October 23. There’s a 10% chance of a freeze by October 11 and a 90% chance by November 3.
Can it frost in Flatwoods after the last frost date?
Yes. Frost can form on clear, calm nights even when the air stays above 32°F. Temperatures of 36°F or lower, cold enough for frost on exposed plants, have a 50% chance of occurring after May 4.
What growing zone is Flatwoods?
Flatwoods is in USDA Plant Hardiness Zone 7a (average annual extreme minimum temperature 0 to 5°F), based on the 2023 USDA map for ZIP code 41169. See growing zones in Kentucky.
More: all Kentucky frost dates · Kentucky growing zones · frost vs. freeze