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Will it freeze in Alexandria in the next 7 nights?
The earliest overnight low at or below 32°F in the available NWS frost forecast is Sat, Nov 7: 29°F (Sat, Nov 7, 6:00 PM EST to Sun, Nov 8, 6:00 AM EST).
Tonight: forecast low 43°F. Above 36°F.
NWS forecast period: Thu, Nov 5, 6:00 PM EST to Fri, Nov 6, 6:00 AM EST.
5 of the next 7 nights are forecast at 36°F or colder, cold enough for frost on exposed plants.
- Tonight 43°F Above 36°F · Scattered Rain Showers
- Fri, Nov 6 34°F Frost possible · Mostly Cloudy
- Sat, Nov 7 29°F Freeze · Partly Cloudy
- Sun, Nov 8 32°F Freeze · Mostly Clear
- Mon, Nov 9 37°F Above 36°F · Clear
- Tue, Nov 10 34°F Frost possible · Mostly Clear
- Wed, Nov 11 35°F Frost possible · Partly Cloudy
Overnight lows from the National Weather Service forecast for this location. This covers the available forecast window, not the first freeze of the whole season. Frost can form above 32°F on clear, calm nights.
Frost and freeze probabilities
Freeze dates shift from year to year. Spring percentages describe the chance of a freeze after the stated date; fall percentages describe the chance of a freeze by that date. The 10% spring date is the cautious one: a later freeze happens about 1 year in 10.
These dates describe historical probabilities, not this year’s forecast or the earliest and latest possible freezes. Different weather stations or probability thresholds can produce different published dates for the same city.
Average first hard freeze in Alexandria
The median first fall hard-freeze date (28°F) is October 30, from NOAA’s 1991–2020 Climate Normals at Elwood. This is the 50% probability date, not a forecast for this year.
| Temperature | Last spring date 90% · 50% · 10% chance of a later freeze | First fall date 10% · 50% · 90% chance of an earlier freeze | Season |
|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F frost possible | Apr 20 · May 5 · May 19 | Sep 23 · Oct 6 · Oct 21 | 154 days |
| 32°F freeze | Apr 8 · Apr 24 · May 10 | Oct 4 · Oct 18 · Nov 1 | 175 days |
| 28°F hard freeze | Mar 28 · Apr 12 · Apr 30 | Oct 15 · Oct 30 · Nov 12 | 199 days |
Average high temperature by month
1991–2020 normals at Elwood
Average low temperature by month
Months with lows near or below freezing carry frost risk
Where these frost dates come from
The frost dates for Alexandria, IN come from the nearest weather station with freeze statistics in NOAA’s 1991–2020 Climate Normals: Elwood (station USC00122638, elevation 866 ft), 9.2 mi from Alexandria. Local conditions (valleys, hilltops, distance to water, city heat) can shift frost dates by days or weeks. The hardiness zone is from the 2023 USDA Plant Hardiness Zone Map (USDA ARS and Oregon State University PRISM). See our methodology.
Frost dates near Alexandria
| City | Distance | Last spring frost | First fall frost |
|---|---|---|---|
| Elwood, IN | 8.7 mi | Apr 24 | Oct 18 |
| Yorktown, IN | 11 mi | Apr 16 | Oct 25 |
| Anderson, IN | 12 mi | Apr 19 | Oct 23 |
| Muncie, IN | 16 mi | Apr 16 | Oct 25 |
| Gas City, IN | 16 mi | Apr 26 | Oct 20 |
| Pendleton, IN | 18 mi | Apr 19 | Oct 23 |
| Tipton, IN | 19 mi | Apr 23 | Oct 17 |
| Marion, IN | 20 mi | Apr 26 | Oct 20 |
| Hartford City, IN | 21 mi | Apr 22 | Oct 22 |
| Cicero, IN | 21 mi | Apr 23 | Oct 17 |
Frequently asked questions
When is the last frost in Alexandria?
On average, the last spring frost (32°F) in Alexandria is around April 24. In about 1 year in 10 it comes after May 10, and in 9 years in 10 it comes after April 8.
When is the first frost in Alexandria?
The first fall frost (32°F) usually arrives around October 18. There’s a 10% chance of a freeze by October 4 and a 90% chance by November 1.
Can it frost in Alexandria after the last frost date?
Yes. Frost can form on clear, calm nights even when the air stays above 32°F. Temperatures of 36°F or lower, cold enough for frost on exposed plants, have a 50% chance of occurring after May 5.
What growing zone is Alexandria?
Alexandria is in USDA Plant Hardiness Zone 6a (average annual extreme minimum temperature −10 to −5°F), based on the 2023 USDA map for ZIP code 46001. See growing zones in Indiana.
More: all Indiana frost dates · Indiana growing zones · frost vs. freeze