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Will it freeze in Gainesville in the next 7 nights?
No overnight lows at or below 32°F are forecast in Gainesville during the next 7 nights in the available NWS frost forecast.
Tonight: forecast low 57°F. Above 36°F.
NWS forecast period: Thu, Nov 5, 6:00 PM EST to Fri, Nov 6, 6:00 AM EST.
No nights at or below 36°F in the National Weather Service forecast for the next 7 nights.
- Tonight 57°F Above 36°F · Mostly Cloudy
- Fri, Nov 6 48°F Above 36°F · Clear
- Sat, Nov 7 44°F Above 36°F · Mostly Clear
- Sun, Nov 8 44°F Above 36°F · Partly Cloudy
- Mon, Nov 9 44°F Above 36°F · Mostly Clear
- Tue, Nov 10 46°F Above 36°F · Partly Cloudy
- Wed, Nov 11 47°F Above 36°F · Mostly Clear
Overnight lows from the National Weather Service forecast for this location. This covers the available forecast window, not the first freeze of the whole season. Frost can form above 32°F on clear, calm nights.
Frost and freeze probabilities
Freeze dates shift from year to year. Spring percentages describe the chance of a freeze after the stated date; fall percentages describe the chance of a freeze by that date. The 10% spring date is the cautious one: a later freeze happens about 1 year in 10.
These dates describe historical probabilities, not this year’s forecast or the earliest and latest possible freezes. Different weather stations or probability thresholds can produce different published dates for the same city.
Average first hard freeze in Gainesville
The median first fall hard-freeze date (28°F) is November 30, from NOAA’s 1991–2020 Climate Normals at Gainesville Gilmer Airport. This is the 50% probability date, not a forecast for this year.
| Temperature | Last spring date 90% · 50% · 10% chance of a later freeze | First fall date 10% · 50% · 90% chance of an earlier freeze | Season |
|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F frost possible | Mar 16 · Apr 3 · Apr 18 | Oct 20 · Nov 3 · Nov 18 | 215 days |
| 32°F freeze | Mar 1 · Mar 20 · Apr 6 | Oct 31 · Nov 14 · Dec 4 | 239 days |
| 28°F hard freeze | Feb 12 · Mar 7 · Mar 26 | Nov 9 · Nov 30 · Dec 25 | 268 days |
Average high temperature by month
1991–2020 normals at Gainesville Gilmer Airport
Average low temperature by month
Months with lows near or below freezing carry frost risk
Where these frost dates come from
The frost dates for Gainesville, GA come from the nearest weather station with freeze statistics in NOAA’s 1991–2020 Climate Normals: Gainesville Gilmer Airport (station USW00053838, elevation 1,275 ft), 1.2 mi from Gainesville. Local conditions (valleys, hilltops, distance to water, city heat) can shift frost dates by days or weeks. The hardiness zone is from the 2023 USDA Plant Hardiness Zone Map (USDA ARS and Oregon State University PRISM). See our methodology.
Frost dates near Gainesville
| City | Distance | Last spring frost | First fall frost |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oakwood, GA | 5.6 mi | Mar 20 | Nov 14 |
| Flowery Branch, GA | 9.9 mi | Mar 20 | Nov 14 |
| Braselton, GA | 12 mi | Mar 20 | Nov 14 |
| Hoschton, GA | 15 mi | Apr 3 | Nov 7 |
| Buford, GA | 15 mi | Apr 4 | Nov 4 |
| Mulberry, GA | 16 mi | Apr 3 | Nov 7 |
| Jefferson, GA | 17 mi | Mar 31 | Nov 6 |
| Sugar Hill, GA | 19 mi | Apr 4 | Nov 4 |
| Cumming, GA | 19 mi | Apr 4 | Nov 4 |
| Dahlonega, GA | 19 mi | Apr 14 | Oct 25 |
Frequently asked questions
When is the last frost in Gainesville?
On average, the last spring frost (32°F) in Gainesville is around March 20. In about 1 year in 10 it comes after April 6, and in 9 years in 10 it comes after March 1.
When is the first frost in Gainesville?
The first fall frost (32°F) usually arrives around November 14. There’s a 10% chance of a freeze by October 31 and a 90% chance by December 4.
Can it frost in Gainesville after the last frost date?
Yes. Frost can form on clear, calm nights even when the air stays above 32°F. Temperatures of 36°F or lower, cold enough for frost on exposed plants, have a 50% chance of occurring after April 3.
What growing zone is Gainesville?
Gainesville is in USDA Plant Hardiness Zone 8a (average annual extreme minimum temperature 10 to 15°F), based on the 2023 USDA map for ZIP code 30501. See growing zones in Georgia.
More: all Georgia frost dates · Georgia growing zones · UV index today in Gainesville · frost vs. freeze