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Will it freeze in Baxley in the next 7 nights?
No overnight lows at or below 32°F are forecast in Baxley during the next 7 nights in the available NWS frost forecast.
Tonight: forecast low 67°F. Above 36°F.
NWS forecast period: Thu, Nov 5, 6:00 PM EST to Fri, Nov 6, 6:00 AM EST.
No nights at or below 36°F in the National Weather Service forecast for the next 7 nights.
- Tonight 67°F Above 36°F · Mostly Cloudy then Patchy Fog
- Fri, Nov 6 55°F Above 36°F · Partly Cloudy
- Sat, Nov 7 50°F Above 36°F · Partly Cloudy
- Sun, Nov 8 47°F Above 36°F · Partly Cloudy
- Mon, Nov 9 46°F Above 36°F · Slight Chance Rain Showers
- Tue, Nov 10 47°F Above 36°F · Partly Cloudy
- Wed, Nov 11 48°F Above 36°F · Partly Cloudy
Overnight lows from the National Weather Service forecast for this location. This covers the available forecast window, not the first freeze of the whole season. Frost can form above 32°F on clear, calm nights.
Frost and freeze probabilities
Freeze dates shift from year to year. Spring percentages describe the chance of a freeze after the stated date; fall percentages describe the chance of a freeze by that date. The 10% spring date is the cautious one: a later freeze happens about 1 year in 10.
These dates describe historical probabilities, not this year’s forecast or the earliest and latest possible freezes. Different weather stations or probability thresholds can produce different published dates for the same city.
Average first hard freeze in Baxley
The median first fall hard-freeze date (28°F) is December 5, from NOAA’s 1991–2020 Climate Normals at Baxley 5NNW. This is the 50% probability date, not a forecast for this year.
| Temperature | Last spring date 90% · 50% · 10% chance of a later freeze | First fall date 10% · 50% · 90% chance of an earlier freeze | Season |
|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F frost possible | Mar 7 · Mar 27 · Apr 9 | Oct 25 · Nov 7 · Nov 23 | 227 days |
| 32°F freeze | Feb 21 · Mar 15 · Mar 31 | Nov 3 · Nov 18 · Dec 9 | 250 days |
| 28°F hard freeze | Feb 2 · Mar 3 · Mar 24 | Nov 12 · Dec 5 · Jan 6 | 281 days |
Average high temperature by month
1991–2020 normals at Baxley 5NNW
Average low temperature by month
Months with lows near or below freezing carry frost risk
Where these frost dates come from
The frost dates for Baxley, GA come from the nearest weather station with freeze statistics in NOAA’s 1991–2020 Climate Normals: Baxley 5NNW (station USC00090670, elevation 213 ft), 5.5 mi from Baxley. Local conditions (valleys, hilltops, distance to water, city heat) can shift frost dates by days or weeks. The hardiness zone is from the 2023 USDA Plant Hardiness Zone Map (USDA ARS and Oregon State University PRISM). See our methodology.
Frost dates near Baxley
| City | Distance | Last spring frost | First fall frost |
|---|---|---|---|
| Glennville, GA | 27 mi | Mar 9 | Nov 24 |
| Jesup, GA | 29 mi | Mar 24 | Nov 10 |
| Vidalia, GA | 31 mi | Mar 2 | Nov 27 |
| Douglas, GA | 35 mi | Mar 5 | Nov 26 |
| McRae-Helena, GA | 38 mi | Mar 5 | Nov 24 |
| Waycross, GA | 39 mi | Mar 15 | Nov 17 |
| Hinesville, GA | 43 mi | Mar 5 | Nov 29 |
| Fitzgerald, GA | 53 mi | Mar 2 | Nov 25 |
| Eastman, GA | 57 mi | Mar 5 | Nov 24 |
| Swainsboro, GA | 57 mi | Mar 21 | Nov 8 |
Frequently asked questions
When is the last frost in Baxley?
On average, the last spring frost (32°F) in Baxley is around March 15. In about 1 year in 10 it comes after March 31, and in 9 years in 10 it comes after February 21.
When is the first frost in Baxley?
The first fall frost (32°F) usually arrives around November 18. There’s a 10% chance of a freeze by November 3 and a 90% chance by December 9.
Can it frost in Baxley after the last frost date?
Yes. Frost can form on clear, calm nights even when the air stays above 32°F. Temperatures of 36°F or lower, cold enough for frost on exposed plants, have a 50% chance of occurring after March 27.
What growing zone is Baxley?
Baxley is in USDA Plant Hardiness Zone 9a (average annual extreme minimum temperature 20 to 25°F), based on the 2023 USDA map for ZIP code 31513. See growing zones in Georgia.
More: all Georgia frost dates · Georgia growing zones · frost vs. freeze