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Will it freeze in Lafayette in the next 7 nights?
No overnight lows at or below 32°F are forecast in Lafayette during the next 7 nights in the available NWS frost forecast.
Tonight: forecast low 37°F. Above 36°F.
NWS forecast period: Thu, Nov 5, 6:00 PM MST to Fri, Nov 6, 6:00 AM MST.
2 of the next 7 nights are forecast at 36°F or colder, cold enough for frost on exposed plants.
- Tonight 37°F Above 36°F · Mostly Cloudy
- Fri, Nov 6 35°F Frost possible · Mostly Clear
- Sat, Nov 7 35°F Frost possible · Mostly Clear
- Sun, Nov 8 39°F Above 36°F · Clear
- Mon, Nov 9 39°F Above 36°F · Mostly Clear
- Tue, Nov 10 37°F Above 36°F · Partly Cloudy
- Wed, Nov 11 38°F Above 36°F · Partly Cloudy
Overnight lows from the National Weather Service forecast for this location. This covers the available forecast window, not the first freeze of the whole season. Frost can form above 32°F on clear, calm nights.
Frost and freeze probabilities
Freeze dates shift from year to year. Spring percentages describe the chance of a freeze after the stated date; fall percentages describe the chance of a freeze by that date. The 10% spring date is the cautious one: a later freeze happens about 1 year in 10.
These dates describe historical probabilities, not this year’s forecast or the earliest and latest possible freezes. Different weather stations or probability thresholds can produce different published dates for the same city.
Average first hard freeze in Lafayette
The median first fall hard-freeze date (28°F) is October 21, from NOAA’s 1991–2020 Climate Normals at Northglenn. This is the 50% probability date, not a forecast for this year.
| Temperature | Last spring date 90% · 50% · 10% chance of a later freeze | First fall date 10% · 50% · 90% chance of an earlier freeze | Season |
|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F frost possible | Apr 30 · May 12 · May 26 | Sep 18 · Oct 1 · Oct 14 | 142 days |
| 32°F freeze | Apr 18 · May 2 · May 14 | Sep 26 · Oct 11 · Oct 24 | 160 days |
| 28°F hard freeze | Apr 4 · Apr 20 · May 5 | Oct 7 · Oct 21 · Nov 4 | 182 days |
Average high temperature by month
1991–2020 normals at Northglenn
Average low temperature by month
Months with lows near or below freezing carry frost risk
Where these frost dates come from
The frost dates for Lafayette, CO come from the nearest weather station with freeze statistics in NOAA’s 1991–2020 Climate Normals: Northglenn (station USC00055984, elevation 5,407 ft), 8.1 mi from Lafayette. Local conditions (valleys, hilltops, distance to water, city heat) can shift frost dates by days or weeks. The hardiness zone is from the 2023 USDA Plant Hardiness Zone Map (USDA ARS and Oregon State University PRISM). See our methodology.
Frost dates near Lafayette
| City | Distance | Last spring frost | First fall frost |
|---|---|---|---|
| Louisville, CO | 3.1 mi | May 6 | Oct 5 |
| Broomfield, CO | 3.7 mi | May 2 | Oct 11 |
| Erie, CO | 4.3 mi | May 7 | Oct 5 |
| Superior, CO | 5.6 mi | May 6 | Oct 5 |
| Westminster, CO | 8.1 mi | May 2 | Oct 11 |
| Boulder, CO | 8.1 mi | May 6 | Oct 5 |
| Northglenn, CO | 8.7 mi | May 2 | Oct 11 |
| Dacono, CO | 9.3 mi | May 7 | Oct 5 |
| Thornton, CO | 9.9 mi | May 2 | Oct 11 |
| Federal Heights, CO | 9.9 mi | May 2 | Oct 11 |
Frequently asked questions
When is the last frost in Lafayette?
On average, the last spring frost (32°F) in Lafayette is around May 2. In about 1 year in 10 it comes after May 14, and in 9 years in 10 it comes after April 18.
When is the first frost in Lafayette?
The first fall frost (32°F) usually arrives around October 11. There’s a 10% chance of a freeze by September 26 and a 90% chance by October 24.
Can it frost in Lafayette after the last frost date?
Yes. Frost can form on clear, calm nights even when the air stays above 32°F. Temperatures of 36°F or lower, cold enough for frost on exposed plants, have a 50% chance of occurring after May 12.
What growing zone is Lafayette?
Lafayette is in USDA Plant Hardiness Zone 6a (average annual extreme minimum temperature −10 to −5°F), based on the 2023 USDA map for ZIP code 80026. See growing zones in Colorado.
More: all Colorado frost dates · Colorado growing zones · UV index today in Lafayette · frost vs. freeze