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Will it freeze in Castle Rock in the next 7 nights?
No overnight lows at or below 32°F are forecast in Castle Rock during the next 7 nights in the available NWS frost forecast.
Tonight: forecast low 34°F. Frost possible.
NWS forecast period: Thu, Nov 5, 6:00 PM MST to Fri, Nov 6, 6:00 AM MST.
3 of the next 7 nights are forecast at 36°F or colder, cold enough for frost on exposed plants.
- Tonight 34°F Frost possible · Partly Cloudy
- Fri, Nov 6 33°F Frost possible · Mostly Clear
- Sat, Nov 7 35°F Frost possible · Mostly Clear
- Sun, Nov 8 38°F Above 36°F · Clear
- Mon, Nov 9 40°F Above 36°F · Mostly Clear
- Tue, Nov 10 38°F Above 36°F · Partly Cloudy
- Wed, Nov 11 38°F Above 36°F · Mostly Clear
Overnight lows from the National Weather Service forecast for this location. This covers the available forecast window, not the first freeze of the whole season. Frost can form above 32°F on clear, calm nights.
Frost and freeze probabilities
Freeze dates shift from year to year. Spring percentages describe the chance of a freeze after the stated date; fall percentages describe the chance of a freeze by that date. The 10% spring date is the cautious one: a later freeze happens about 1 year in 10.
These dates describe historical probabilities, not this year’s forecast or the earliest and latest possible freezes. Different weather stations or probability thresholds can produce different published dates for the same city.
Average first hard freeze in Castle Rock
The median first fall hard-freeze date (28°F) is October 12, from NOAA’s 1991–2020 Climate Normals at Castle Rock. This is the 50% probability date, not a forecast for this year.
| Temperature | Last spring date 90% · 50% · 10% chance of a later freeze | First fall date 10% · 50% · 90% chance of an earlier freeze | Season |
|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F frost possible | May 9 · May 21 · Jun 6 | Sep 11 · Sep 25 · Oct 7 | 124 days |
| 32°F freeze | Apr 30 · May 9 · May 24 | Sep 17 · Oct 2 · Oct 16 | 143 days |
| 28°F hard freeze | Apr 17 · May 1 · May 14 | Sep 26 · Oct 12 · Oct 25 | 161 days |
Average high temperature by month
1991–2020 normals at Castle Rock
Average low temperature by month
Months with lows near or below freezing carry frost risk
Where these frost dates come from
The frost dates for Castle Rock, CO come from the nearest weather station with freeze statistics in NOAA’s 1991–2020 Climate Normals: Castle Rock (station USC00051401, elevation 6,185 ft), 3.7 mi from Castle Rock. Local conditions (valleys, hilltops, distance to water, city heat) can shift frost dates by days or weeks. The hardiness zone is from the 2023 USDA Plant Hardiness Zone Map (USDA ARS and Oregon State University PRISM). See our methodology.
Frost dates near Castle Rock
| City | Distance | Last spring frost | First fall frost |
|---|---|---|---|
| Castle Pines, CO | 6.2 mi | May 9 | Oct 2 |
| Parker, CO | 9.9 mi | May 9 | Oct 3 |
| Lone Tree, CO | 11 mi | May 5 | Oct 8 |
| Centennial, CO | 15 mi | May 5 | Oct 8 |
| Greenwood Village, CO | 17 mi | May 7 | Oct 8 |
| Littleton, CO | 17 mi | May 2 | Oct 11 |
| Cherry Hills Village, CO | 19 mi | May 7 | Oct 8 |
| Englewood, CO | 20 mi | May 2 | Oct 11 |
| Sheridan, CO | 21 mi | May 2 | Oct 11 |
| Monument, CO | 21 mi | May 17 | Oct 1 |
Frequently asked questions
When is the last frost in Castle Rock?
On average, the last spring frost (32°F) in Castle Rock is around May 9. In about 1 year in 10 it comes after May 24, and in 9 years in 10 it comes after April 30.
When is the first frost in Castle Rock?
The first fall frost (32°F) usually arrives around October 2. There’s a 10% chance of a freeze by September 17 and a 90% chance by October 16.
Can it frost in Castle Rock after the last frost date?
Yes. Frost can form on clear, calm nights even when the air stays above 32°F. Temperatures of 36°F or lower, cold enough for frost on exposed plants, have a 50% chance of occurring after May 21.
What growing zone is Castle Rock?
Castle Rock is in USDA Plant Hardiness Zone 5b (average annual extreme minimum temperature −15 to −10°F), based on the 2023 USDA map for ZIP code 80109. See growing zones in Colorado.
More: all Colorado frost dates · Colorado growing zones · UV index today in Castle Rock · frost vs. freeze