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Will it freeze in Alma in the next 7 nights?
No overnight lows at or below 32°F are forecast in Alma during the next 7 nights in the available NWS frost forecast.
Tonight: forecast low 52°F. Above 36°F.
NWS forecast period: Thu, Nov 5, 6:00 PM CST to Fri, Nov 6, 6:00 AM CST.
No nights at or below 36°F in the National Weather Service forecast for the next 7 nights.
- Tonight 52°F Above 36°F · Partly Cloudy
- Fri, Nov 6 46°F Above 36°F · Partly Cloudy
- Sat, Nov 7 44°F Above 36°F · Partly Cloudy
- Sun, Nov 8 44°F Above 36°F · Mostly Clear
- Mon, Nov 9 47°F Above 36°F · Mostly Clear
- Tue, Nov 10 50°F Above 36°F · Mostly Clear
- Wed, Nov 11 52°F Above 36°F · Mostly Clear
Overnight lows from the National Weather Service forecast for this location. This covers the available forecast window, not the first freeze of the whole season. Frost can form above 32°F on clear, calm nights.
Frost and freeze probabilities
Freeze dates shift from year to year. Spring percentages describe the chance of a freeze after the stated date; fall percentages describe the chance of a freeze by that date. The 10% spring date is the cautious one: a later freeze happens about 1 year in 10.
These dates describe historical probabilities, not this year’s forecast or the earliest and latest possible freezes. Different weather stations or probability thresholds can produce different published dates for the same city.
Average first hard freeze in Alma
The median first fall hard-freeze date (28°F) is November 6, from NOAA’s 1991–2020 Climate Normals at Mountainburg 2 NE. This is the 50% probability date, not a forecast for this year.
| Temperature | Last spring date 90% · 50% · 10% chance of a later freeze | First fall date 10% · 50% · 90% chance of an earlier freeze | Season |
|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F frost possible | Apr 7 · Apr 23 · May 8 | Oct 5 · Oct 18 · Nov 2 | 179 days |
| 32°F freeze | Mar 24 · Apr 9 · Apr 28 | Oct 14 · Oct 28 · Nov 12 | 201 days |
| 28°F hard freeze | Mar 8 · Mar 28 · Apr 14 | Oct 23 · Nov 6 · Nov 25 | 222 days |
Average high temperature by month
1991–2020 normals at Mountainburg 2 NE
Average low temperature by month
Months with lows near or below freezing carry frost risk
Where these frost dates come from
The frost dates for Alma, AR come from the nearest weather station with freeze statistics in NOAA’s 1991–2020 Climate Normals: Mountainburg 2 NE (station USC00035018, elevation 793 ft), 11 mi from Alma. Local conditions (valleys, hilltops, distance to water, city heat) can shift frost dates by days or weeks. The hardiness zone is from the 2023 USDA Plant Hardiness Zone Map (USDA ARS and Oregon State University PRISM). See our methodology.
Frost dates near Alma
| City | Distance | Last spring frost | First fall frost |
|---|---|---|---|
| Van Buren, AR | 8.1 mi | Mar 25 | Nov 6 |
| Barling, AR | 12 mi | Mar 25 | Nov 6 |
| Fort Smith, AR | 13 mi | Mar 25 | Nov 6 |
| Greenwood, AR | 19 mi | Mar 25 | Nov 6 |
| Sallisaw, OK | 34 mi | Mar 30 | Nov 7 |
| Prairie Grove, AR | 34 mi | Apr 15 | Oct 21 |
| Poteau, OK | 37 mi | Apr 6 | Nov 2 |
| Farmington, AR | 38 mi | Apr 15 | Oct 21 |
| Fayetteville, AR | 40 mi | Apr 4 | Oct 31 |
| Clarksville, AR | 41 mi | Mar 24 | Nov 10 |
Frequently asked questions
When is the last frost in Alma?
On average, the last spring frost (32°F) in Alma is around April 9. In about 1 year in 10 it comes after April 28, and in 9 years in 10 it comes after March 24.
When is the first frost in Alma?
The first fall frost (32°F) usually arrives around October 28. There’s a 10% chance of a freeze by October 14 and a 90% chance by November 12.
Can it frost in Alma after the last frost date?
Yes. Frost can form on clear, calm nights even when the air stays above 32°F. Temperatures of 36°F or lower, cold enough for frost on exposed plants, have a 50% chance of occurring after April 23.
What growing zone is Alma?
Alma is in USDA Plant Hardiness Zone 8a (average annual extreme minimum temperature 10 to 15°F), based on the 2023 USDA map for ZIP code 72921. See growing zones in Arkansas.
More: all Arkansas frost dates · Arkansas growing zones · frost vs. freeze